this is will be a thread where i will cover the federal process and FMS specially JL and the case of Gedo.
110 days remain until the end of his term literally 3 months and we are entering the last two months!
i think these will be the most disastrous 100 days in his 4 years except the ban on direct flights to Kismayo so beware the last kicks of a dying horse but there is one great thing wich is prime minister rooble morally siding with his HAG. he gave appointments to many of them after his cabinet gets approval. when im saying disastrous i mean by trying every thing to salvage himself from sinking so we gonna see alot of destabilization efforts that will end up in vain like Hirshabelle but he will leave behind big mess in this State that will need to be fixed by the next Govt quickly we will also see conflict escalation in troubled Gedo region that might cause unnecessary delays but there wont be new election timetable after the scheduled one.
the ultimatum to establish the representatives of the federal & state level election committees has passed as still some FMS havent submitted like JL and PL. this time PL does not look it will stick with JL maybe because presidential candidate Deni want to accelerate the process and only supports JL to boycott elections takes place in Gedo until non local forces sent back to Xamar but not disturb the federal level. it looks like Gedo will be the last region to elect its mps until they get solution for it under pro Ahmed Madoobe admin wich will happen after reconciliation process takes place that will lead the removal of Xamar forces
anyways the PL members will likely be nominated today and maybe JL will follow suit. i don't think he can't do shit in 100 days i predict all his efforts to come to naught.
