Welcome to SomaliNet Forums, a friendly and gigantic Somali centric active community. Login to hide this block

You are currently viewing this page as a guest. By joining our community you will have the ability to post topics, ask questions, educate others, use the advanced search, subscribe to threads and access many, many other features. Registration is quick, simple and absolutely free. Join SomaliNet forums today! Please note that registered members with over 50 posts see no ads whatsoever! Are you new to SomaliNet? These forums with millions of posts are just one section of a much larger site. Just visit the front page and use the top links to explore deep into SomaliNet oasis, Somali singles, Somali business directory, Somali job bank and much more. Click here to login. If you need to reset your password, click here. If you have any problems with the registration process or your account login, please contact us.

Everything will happen as we expected in Galmudug and the preliminary finds indicate that mooge won’t return

Daily chitchat on Somali politics.

Moderator: Moderators

OUR SPONSOR: LOGIN TO HIDE
User avatar
sahal80
SomaliNet Super
SomaliNet Super
Posts: 21186
Joined: Sun Jan 08, 2012 1:49 pm

Everything will happen as we expected in Galmudug and the preliminary finds indicate that mooge won’t return

Postby sahal80 » Mon Aug 02, 2021 8:11 pm

yaa ka shakisnaa taas horta that he has no chance in a competitive atmosphere :myman:

Most of the Galmudug's upper house seats will go to different candidates and if we add them together they will form the majority and this is evidence that Mooge will not return. where r the ciyaal who were saying that he controls Galmudug but in reality he is not different than Kheyre who puts his hopes in one senator(dhagdheer who will return inshallah) or AAW(Kamal Guutale wadajir leader) although he is not as certain as Kheyre. Hirshabelle we'll come for it's time. The only FMS that has gone for mooge fully is KG but this will depend on Gareen's loyalty to him because he is the one who chose these senators from his relatives and in-laws and directs them as he wants instead of installing well known politicians who support Mooge. there is a theory that says lafta gareen avoided all those who r pro MM and Mooge in an agreement with D&M candidates and politicians like Sakiin and Musral who r are silent about it. Yes, Gareen is loyal to Mooge but not his senators and mps!
If Gareen decides to support a southwestern candidate then they will vote for him. Everything relays on laftagareen and that can be a big mistake by Mooge.

most senators of Galmudug will go for Waayoarag(Qeybdiid and yuusuf Geele seats) Kheyre(Dhagdheer)
Ahlussunna(not known)
UPD/Himilo(waceysle)
Wadajir vs Daljir(Abshir bukhaari vs Kamal gutaale the latter has joined Galmudug and was representing it in FMS Gudiyada)
and Mooge(goonjeex or who ever replaces him)

waxaa ugu kulul kursiga Qeybdiid inkastoo kursiga loo xiri rabo waxaa soo baxaya inuu qalqal ka sameen rabo dhuusamareeb oo sidaas kursiga lagu furo. Xaaf ayaa dabari jiray qaadka xildhibaanada Galmudug oo ka baxsan mushaarkooda marka taageero xoogan ayuu ku dhex leeyahay xaaskiisana waa cabsiiye Ceyr oo magaalada ku xoogan.

you see? this shows mooge will be out of the race in the second round once these candidates collaborate against him(washamsi ku qaadaan)

aaway ciyaalkii waxma ogayaasha ee lahaa qoorqoor anagaa leh he is our ally :pac:

current Galmudug senators.
1-Abshir Maxamed Axmed (Abshir Bukhaari) Kursiga Beesha reer Xaaji Saleebaan H/gidir

2- Jen. Cabdi Xasan Cawaale Qeybdiid — Beesha Sacad H/gidir

3- Cabdi Axmed Dhuxulow (Dhegdheer) — Murusade

4-Yuusuf Geelle Ugaas — Beesha Duduble


5- Zamzam Dahir Maxamuud — Beesha C/raxmaan Saleebaan Waceysle

6- Jawaahir Axmed Cilmi — Beesha Cayr H/gidir

7- C/waaxid Cilmi Goonjeex — Beesha Mareexaan.

8- Abuukar Axmed Xaashi — Beesha Dir.

Last edited by sahal80 on Mon Aug 02, 2021 8:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.

grandpakhalif
SomaliNet Super
SomaliNet Super
Posts: 30666
Joined: Tue Sep 01, 2009 10:32 am
Location: Darul Kufr
Contact:

Re: Everything will happen as we expected in Galmudug and the preliminary finds indicate that mooge won’t return

Postby grandpakhalif » Mon Aug 02, 2021 8:35 pm

Goonjeez re elected again what great news :pac:

User avatar
Rebelxx22
SomaliNetizen
SomaliNetizen
Posts: 457
Joined: Sun Jul 25, 2021 11:04 pm

Re: Everything will happen as we expected in Galmudug and the preliminary finds indicate that mooge won’t return

Postby Rebelxx22 » Mon Aug 02, 2021 8:52 pm

Sahal Farmaajo seems to be hoping to win through the Southwest, Northern regions and Beesha Shanad seats. But that doesn’t mean he wouldn’t try to put up a financial fight in areas he’s seen as the under dog.

User avatar
sahal80
SomaliNet Super
SomaliNet Super
Posts: 21186
Joined: Sun Jan 08, 2012 1:49 pm

Re: Everything will happen as we expected in Galmudug and the preliminary finds indicate that mooge won’t return

Postby sahal80 » Mon Aug 02, 2021 9:47 pm

Sahal Farmaajo seems to be hoping to win through the Southwest, Northern regions and Beesha Shanad seats. But that doesn’t mean he wouldn’t try to put up a financial fight in areas he’s seen as the under dog.
This is an illusory exaggeration of Mooges non existent abilities.

First the CBB theory that one candidate controls each FMS is wrong but in some regions they have allies such as JL and KG so let us say Mooge has more chances in KG who also have local candidate like sakiin and the mistrust between laftagareen and Mursal who is in cahoots with Sakiin

Sakiin and HAG candidates are united this time to pick Dblock speaker and this could turn things upside down.

what laftagareen is going to do about the coming D&M shirar and their siyaasiyinn meetings with their mps?

the only chance mooge had was through Boob and they put an end to his boob.

the real power lies with the FMS presidents and he only got Laftagareen the question is can laftagareen afduub D&M for him? they r not cayaarcayaar sxb.

User avatar
sahal80
SomaliNet Super
SomaliNet Super
Posts: 21186
Joined: Sun Jan 08, 2012 1:49 pm

Re: Everything will happen as we expected in Galmudug and the preliminary finds indicate that mooge won’t return

Postby sahal80 » Tue Aug 03, 2021 2:04 am

As we previously revealed, it's clear from the expected list that the candidate of Rooble and QoorQoor is Guuleed and Not Mooge so let me rephrase it in more specific term and change waayoarag into Pro Guuleed waayo qeybdiid "wuxuu dhisayaa Guuleed" Guuleed will get more aqalka hoose mps from Galmudug who work with Rooble and QoorQoor

also dont forget his affiliations with UPD and Daljir as a background

here some of them i revealed before


pro Guuleed Al cadaala deputy info minister vs pro UPD Odowaa(aqalka hoose)

pro Guuleed Abdiziz Ashkir(Rooble adviser) Vs pro UPD Mahad Salaad(Aqalka hoose)

So Guuleed leads in Galmudug and he has the biggest chance to receive pro mooge mps markuu gaarga ka jabo some of those mps who support mooge was picked by him and let them through as former Galmudug president

for this reason i like Qeybdiid to win than Xaaf who is even more Mucaarad to strengthen guuleed chances. it does not mean i support Guuleed rather every strong opposition candidate is Good for us also dont forget xaaf will kill ahmed fiqi chances as they both belong to cabdalle sacad. infact Moogees wish Xaaf to win so Fiqi can be removed!
Guuleed is the biggest danger on Mooge and if he collaborates with Sakiin he could stop him earlier and take his supporters with him.

im fine with Guuleed as reer buundoweyn Baladweyne with a beatuful half hawadle cadad Wife but he is not my first choice.

User avatar
Kees70
SomaliNet Heavyweight
SomaliNet Heavyweight
Posts: 2193
Joined: Tue Feb 18, 2020 2:40 pm

Re: Everything will happen as we expected in Galmudug and the preliminary finds indicate that mooge won’t return

Postby Kees70 » Tue Aug 03, 2021 3:38 am

Sahal80

Beesha Sacad is split between Cabdala and Cawareero, but in politics the 3mps seats Sacads have is split between 1mp for for Cabdala and 2mps for Cawareero (1mp for "Odow" family are Dahir Calasow, Aideed , and Sacad Suldaan Abdinasor , 1mp "Wuqujire" family are Qeybdiid, Guuled and Rooble)

As you can see politically Xaafs Cabdala are the minority and is in disadvantage, but you have to understand Qeybdiid is disliked and we want him removed with that Odow Jalaf dude with the afto hair and not Xaaf who we hate immensely due to his pro-mj stance.

Xaaf support comes mainly from his Ceyre side and MJs backing him behind the scenes, no Cabdala dares to fight for him lest it becomes intra Sacad war and they are minority against Cawareero.

Qeybdiid will win simply because we Sacad hate Xaaf the big mouth immensely for his pro mjs stance.

Nomand
SomaliNet Super
SomaliNet Super
Posts: 7532
Joined: Fri Jan 23, 2009 5:51 am
Location: nomand, first of my names, king of the andals and the first men

Re: Everything will happen as we expected in Galmudug and the preliminary finds indicate that mooge won’t return

Postby Nomand » Tue Aug 03, 2021 6:21 am

Which ever path it takes farmaajo comes out on top. The only never farmaajo people are ogadeen. MJ is all about politics and MJ would rather have farmaajo over abdikariim guuleed as they view HG a bigger threat then MX.

MX are after jubbaland but are not after the destruction of majerteenia. Here is where we will see a split between kab iyo lax as I believe ogadeen would 100 percent welcome HG.

So alliances would change where instead of getting galmudug, farmaajo will get puntland.

But that is if qoor qoor stabs farmaajo in the back.

User avatar
sahal80
SomaliNet Super
SomaliNet Super
Posts: 21186
Joined: Sun Jan 08, 2012 1:49 pm

Re: Everything will happen as we expected in Galmudug and the preliminary finds indicate that mooge won’t return

Postby sahal80 » Tue Aug 03, 2021 7:12 am

Sahal80

Beesha Sacad is split between Cabdala and Cawareero, but in politics the 3mps seats Sacads have is split between 1mp for for Cabdala and 2mps for Cawareero (1mp for "Odow" family are Dahir Calasow, Aideed , and Sacad Suldaan Abdinasor , 1mp "Wuqujire" family are Qeybdiid, Guuled and Rooble)

As you can see politically Xaafs Cabdala are the minority and is in disadvantage, but you have to understand Qeybdiid is disliked and we want him removed with that Odow Jalaf dude with the afto hair and not Xaaf who we hate immensely due to his pro-mj stance.

Xaaf support comes mainly from his Ceyre side and MJs backing him behind the scenes, no Cabdala dares to fight for him lest it becomes intra Sacad war and they are minority against Cawareero.

Qeybdiid will win simply because we Sacad hate Xaaf the big mouth immensely for his pro mjs stance.
:up: "Wuqujire" family are Qeybdiid, Guuled and Rooble" this part is new to me now i see the connection between these three thanks. :ohhh:

NGM
SomaliNetizen
SomaliNetizen
Posts: 512
Joined: Fri Jun 04, 2021 5:57 am

Re: Everything will happen as we expected in Galmudug and the preliminary finds indicate that mooge won’t return

Postby NGM » Tue Aug 03, 2021 8:30 am

Sahal there are three possibilities

1. N&N takes all
2. N&N takes 6 out of 8
3. N&N takes 4, Kheyre 1, Hassan Sh 1, Abdikarim Gulled 1, Abdirahman Abdishakur 1

At the end of the day GM is always going to be N&N majority because it has invested alot into GM and also because of clan and allegiances. MX-HG

User avatar
Kees70
SomaliNet Heavyweight
SomaliNet Heavyweight
Posts: 2193
Joined: Tue Feb 18, 2020 2:40 pm

Re: Everything will happen as we expected in Galmudug and the preliminary finds indicate that mooge won’t return

Postby Kees70 » Tue Aug 03, 2021 8:41 am

Sahal80

Beesha Sacad is split between Cabdala and Cawareero, but in politics the 3mps seats Sacads have is split between 1mp for for Cabdala and 2mps for Cawareero (1mp for "Odow" family are Dahir Calasow, Aideed , and Sacad Suldaan Abdinasor , 1mp "Wuqujire" family are Qeybdiid, Guuled and Rooble)

As you can see politically Xaafs Cabdala are the minority and is in disadvantage, but you have to understand Qeybdiid is disliked and we want him removed with that Odow Jalaf dude with the afto hair and not Xaaf who we hate immensely due to his pro-mj stance.

Xaaf support comes mainly from his Ceyre side and MJs backing him behind the scenes, no Cabdala dares to fight for him lest it becomes intra Sacad war and they are minority against Cawareero.

Qeybdiid will win simply because we Sacad hate Xaaf the big mouth immensely for his pro mjs stance.
:up: "Wuqujire" family are Qeybdiid, Guuled and Rooble" this part is new to me now i see the connection between these three thanks. :ohhh:
:up: :up:

User avatar
sahal80
SomaliNet Super
SomaliNet Super
Posts: 21186
Joined: Sun Jan 08, 2012 1:49 pm

Re: Everything will happen as we expected in Galmudug and the preliminary finds indicate that mooge won’t return

Postby sahal80 » Tue Aug 03, 2021 8:57 am

Sahal there are three possibilities

1. N&N takes all
2. N&N takes 6 out of 8
3. N&N takes 4, Kheyre 1, Hassan Sh 1, Abdikarim Gulled 1, Abdirahman Abdishakur 1

At the end of the day GM is always going to be N&N majority because it has invested alot into GM and also because of clan and allegiances. MX-HG
:lol: ok.

User avatar
sahal80
SomaliNet Super
SomaliNet Super
Posts: 21186
Joined: Sun Jan 08, 2012 1:49 pm

Re: Everything will happen as we expected in Galmudug and the preliminary finds indicate that mooge won’t return

Postby sahal80 » Wed Aug 04, 2021 8:11 am

waiting for Galmudug list
confirmed so far
Qaybdiid for Guuleed
Dhegdheer for Kheyre


User avatar
Rebelxx22
SomaliNetizen
SomaliNetizen
Posts: 457
Joined: Sun Jul 25, 2021 11:04 pm

Re: Everything will happen as we expected in Galmudug and the preliminary finds indicate that mooge won’t return

Postby Rebelxx22 » Wed Aug 04, 2021 9:32 am

So far Dhusamareb is starting to become more independent from Mogadishu based Farmaajo regime and we know Guudlaawe in Jowhar can’t disappoint his clan & the Mucaarads otherwise Badbaado Qaran forces 10 times stronger will show up to his front door step. Sahal how do you think the northern seats will be split. We need Abdi Hashi to manage all the seats :stylin:


User avatar
sahal80
SomaliNet Super
SomaliNet Super
Posts: 21186
Joined: Sun Jan 08, 2012 1:49 pm

Re: Everything will happen as we expected in Galmudug and the preliminary finds indicate that mooge won’t return

Postby sahal80 » Wed Aug 04, 2021 12:19 pm

all FMS supported rooble last nights video Conferencing inuu Rooble reer waqooyiga la wareego hada yatakabaruna maaha abdi hashina maaha waxaa ka masuul ah xafiiska rooble oo gudi cusub u sameeyay oo asaga hoostaga iyo golaha wadatashiga(FMS&Rooble) waa loo taliyay. mooge has now less chance in this gudi. shaley lahjad adag uu ku hadley "aniga ayaa ah hogaamiyaha doorashada, doorashada anigaa masuulka ah)

Kulane jiis boorso qaade uu isku badaley odeygii eelaayga ee asluubta uu boorsada u qaadaa :pac:






Hirshabelle xog waa ka haayey dadka uu yarkaan sheegaayo laakiin its totally different than Galmudug macnaha Guudlaawe muuse suudi listga waa ku dari karaa laakin Baarlamaankaa aa NISA ah oo laga controlaa second deputy who is reerow Hassan marka waa inuu nin uu ku kalsoon yahay keensado. eeda waa ka dhici hadhoow guulaawe hadeey u codeeyaan ninka kale laakin waa ka cabsanayaan Xaajiga. axmed daaci xataa is against mooge.

most r are fine by me waa niman beelahooda ku xiran xataa kuwa aan mucaaaradka la safneen sida tarsan oo ku dhahay mooge is casil dagaalkii Xamar wich means they r done and he is pro Sh sharif. Ali osobe oo ciil u qaba mooge and in recent interview he called him the root of all evil not Kheyre, The other hawadle guy Xanafi is very very pro beesha i know him personally and i spoke to him few times he hates nabar iyo Naxdin though he doesnt like hassan sheekh who gave his seat to minister ex Abdirizak omar from different beel who had no seat before so the former beesha was changed into aqalka sare with a new face.





my hirshabelle list

Gugundhabe
1. Cabdinuur Fareey
2. Xassan Kobac
3. Cabdi Xusseen Geeddi

Gaaljecel
1. Naima Ibrahim Yusuf(outgoing)
2. Maxamed Kulmiye(favoured to win )

hawadle
first kursi( Adeerada)

1. Abdiqadir Xanafi(favoured to win )
Maxamed xussen rage (Surwaal weyne)

3. Cabdilaahi Axmed Maalin Sufuroow

2 kursi
1-Cali Cabdullahi Cosoble Siyad(favoured to win )
2-Maxamed Xassan Qoono(maybe run or not )
3-Siraaji.
kursiga waxaa isku heesta beeshii hore iyo beel kale. qoono oo hassan sheekh ah ayaa kula la tartamaya aqalka hoose Aw daahir oo sheikh Shariif ah marka waxay ku heshiiyeen in mid aqalka sare aado kan kalana aqalka hoose(waa shariif iyo hassan sh) . dhanka kale cali cosoble ayaa UPD rabaan inuu go aqka sare si aqalka hoose Sanbaloolshe u galo oo uu la tartamayo midka ugu xun xdhibaanadeena oo F&F ku shaqeeestaan waa nuur iidle beyle. laakin kursigaas aqalka sare waxaa ugu dhaw cali cosoble


Abgaal/Wacbuudhan
1. Muuse suudi Yalaxoow(favoured to win )
2. Xussen Axmed Calasoow(than man Guudlaawe wants to compete with Muuse Suudi to make it easy for him)



Ciise Mudulood
1. Dr. Proff Dufle(pro Hassan Sheekh)
2. Axmed Maxamed Nur Tarsan(independent)


OUR SPONSOR: LOGIN TO HIDE

Hello, Has your question been answered on this page? We hope yes. If not, you can start a new thread and post your question(s). It is free to join. You can also search our over a million pages (just scroll up and use our site-wide search box) or browse the forums.

  • Similar Topics
    Replies
    Views
    Last post

Return to “Politics - General Discussions”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 29 guests