Major contenders of Oil and resources in Somalia. Pic

[Somali2003]

http://somalitalk.com/oil/suqadara.jpg
None of them will win except the Somali people.

[kadarre]

Do you really think the Arabs will let us dig oil and make money?

[Gedo_Boy]

kadarre,

What the F can the Arabs do? It's our fault not theirs we don't have a stable country.

Don't give them more credit than they deserve.



BTW, what is Ali Abdulah Saleh doing in that pic? How is he influential?

[Somali2003]

We are not free at the moment but we will tap our resources one day. Free in the sense of Geopolitics. Ethiopia is insignificant in the grand scheme of variables.

[Somali2003]

I meant local Contenders at the title If i correct myself.

[Gedo_Boy]

Somali2003,

First identify them all....Some of those ppl are they Kenyan?

Secondly, how is Ali Abdulah Saleh influential or interfering?

[kadarre]

[quote="Gedo_Boy"]kadarre,

What the F can the Arabs do? It's our fault not theirs we don't have a stable country.

Don't give them more credit than they deserve.



BTW, what is Ali Abdulah Saleh doing in that pic? How is he influential?[/quote]

Its their Monopoly letting us get on with it would be self destructive. They will do everything to delay or stop it.

[Somali2003]

[quote="Gedo_Boy"]kadarre,




BTW, what is Ali Abdulah Saleh doing in that pic? How is he influential?[/quote]

I don't know the reason myself but I am assuming that Yemen is aggressively opposed to the partition of Somalia.

[Gedo_Boy]

As far as I can tell,

- Yemen has hosted or made many efforts at reconciliation. Last one being btwn ICU & TFG.
- They haven't significantly armed any one group or the other.
- Yemen hosts a large # of refugees it would probably like to see leave.

IF you were to say Saudi, it would be one thing but I doubt Yemen has a stake in keeping Somali destabilized.

[Somali2003]

Saudi definately is a factor but its oil reserves have gone up with the discovery of new oil wells.
Gedoboy, I have an article from 'Economist Petroleum' from early 1991. Reading it, I was shocked to realize that many of their predictions came true. I'll post it here for your own benefits.

[Gedo_Boy]

What did they predict?

[Somali2003]

The article was written before the civil war was to break out in Mogadisho. They said the State of Somalia will collapse and it will take over a decade and half to reconstitute it. They mainly discuss how the oil resources in Somalia play a major role in this would be protracted conflict. Saudi Arabia is one of the players.

[Gedo_Boy]

Yes, I think Saudia Arabia acted as an obstacle to exploring oil there and I think they even gave the Somali Govt. something like 2 yrs free oil just to dissuade it from exploring.

But I don't think it's a brilliant assumption that Somalia was going to take over a 10 years to resolve itself. After all, it was an East African Govt. and with all the growing instability, weakness after Ogaden war, and the different amount of factions it wasn't that hard to realize that it was gonna take time.

Also, that was before the US got involved.

[Somali2003]

We weren't worse than Ethiopia. However, Ethiopia was rescued even after its state collapse.

[Gedo_Boy]

The rebel movements were far more organized.