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If McCain wins

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Cawar
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If McCain wins

Postby Cawar » Mon Sep 08, 2008 9:54 pm

So what if the old man and his sexy MILF side kick win the election this year??

I mean we all know that BO is already down 10% in the polls before they even do the polling..because he is black..
Couple that with him being BHO..that amounts to 15% of the voters not voting for him.

But look at the brighter side... McCain/Palin are much better than any 3rd world country leader..or all of them combined... :lol:

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Re: If McCain wins

Postby shaamboo » Mon Sep 08, 2008 9:56 pm

ishaa buqso biyo ku cab

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Re: If McCain wins

Postby King-of-Awdal » Mon Sep 08, 2008 9:57 pm

If your MJ you better vote for McCain/Palin. :lol:

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Re: If McCain wins

Postby FAH1223 » Mon Sep 08, 2008 9:59 pm

Cawar wrote:So what if the old man and his sexy MILF side kick win the election this year??

I mean we all know that BO is already down 10% in the polls before they even do the polling..because he is black..
Couple that with him being BHO..that amounts to 15% of the voters not voting for him.


But look at the brighter side... McCain/Palin are much better than any 3rd world country leader..or all of them combined... :lol:


national polls don't mean anything, McCain can win the popular vote for all I care

Obama was up 9 points in the polls last Tuesday

What these polls don't show is all the new registered voters, the dynamics of the electoral college

according to state polls (which tell something more but doesn't tell the story of Obama grassroots organizing), it doesn't look good for McCain as Obama has a foothold on states Bush won in 2004 and is competitive in Republican strongholds such as Virginia and Colorado

if he were to win either one, he will win the election assuming he carries the democratic states Gore won in 00 (such as Wisconsin)...which is most likely happening

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Re: If McCain wins

Postby Cawar » Mon Sep 08, 2008 10:01 pm

King-of-Awdal wrote:If your MJ you better vote for McCain/Palin. :lol:


I think being MJ amounts to being somali..which doesnt change ...no matter who wins..
But being a Djaboutian you will be better off with McSame.keeping his base in our tiny town called country :lol:

Fah, be prepared for a surprise..come Oct..from the GOP..just dont be disapointed if and when it happens.

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Re: If McCain wins

Postby FAH1223 » Mon Sep 08, 2008 10:02 pm

Cawar wrote:
Fah, be prepared for a surprise..come Oct..from the GOP..just dont be disapointed if and when it happens.


You think Bush is going to attack a country or some sort of terrorist crisis will emerge?

Old games aren't working this year, enough is enough!

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Re: If McCain wins

Postby Cawar » Mon Sep 08, 2008 10:03 pm

The newest round of state-level polling results.

The Rasmussen polls were done with FOX News Channel, for what it's worth.

Chief lesson to be drawn from this polling:

The race is tight in swing states.
While the race is tight, the sky is not falling.
The news is worst in Ohio, where according to Rasmussen, McCain has opened up a substantial lead. On the bright side, the lead is not much wider than it was prior to the conventions:

Rasmussen. 9/7. Likely voters. MoE 4.5% (8/18 results)

McCain (R) 51 (48)
Obama (D) 44 (43)
Nader (I) 1

The news is better in Pennsylvania; while Obama clings to a two-point lead in the state, that's actually improved from August, when McCain led by two points:

Rasmussen. 9/7. Likely voters. MoE 4.5% (8/19 results)

Obama (D) 47 (43)
McCain (R) 45 (45)
Barr (L) 1
Nader (I) 1

This could be statistical noise, or it is possible that the Biden selection has improved Obama's numbers in the state.

The two contenders are tied in Florida, ever a battleground state and 27-electoral-vote presidential prize:

Rasmussen. 9/7. Likely voters. MoE 4.5% (8/18 results)

Obama (D) 48 (46)
McCain (R) 48 (48)
Nader (I) 2

Again, Obama's numbers improve slightly while McCain's don't move. The most interesting finding from this poll: Obama is actually beating McCain badly among independents, 54% to 37%.

So why is McCain tied? He draws 19% of Democrats in Florida, compared to Obama's 9% of Republicans. Now, there are still a large number of old Southern Democrats in Florida, particularly the Panhandle, so it's understandable that McCain would draw substantial Democratic support...but 19% seems a bit high. Then again, so does a 17-point Obama edge among unaffiliated voters.

Moving on to Virginia, McCain has picked up a point in the state per Rasmussen, and now leads Obama by 2:

Rasmussen. 9/7. Likely voters. MoE 4.5% (8/12 results)

McCain (R) 49 (48)
Obama (D) 47 (47)
Barr (L) 1
Nader (I) 1

Not much to say there...things are pretty much the same as they were prior to the conventions. In fact, SurveyUSA shows precisely the same result, with precisely the same August results.

In Colorado, however, Rasmussen shows a good trend (which may again be statistical noise) for Democrats:

Rasmussen. 9/7. Likely voters. MoE 4.5% (8/13 results)

Obama (D) 49 (48)
McCain (R) 46 (49)
Barr (L) 2

A three-point lead for Obama, and four-point swing, is perfectly good. However, Tarrance Group on behalf of the NRSC begs to differ:

Tarrance Group (R) for the National Republican Senatorial Committee. 9/2-3. Likely voters. MoE 4.5%

McCain (R) 47
Obama (D) 45

That is a Republican internal taken in the middle of their convention week, so use as many grains of salt as you like.

Possibly the worst polling news for Democrats today is the prospect that Obama could lose a Kerry state worth 18 electoral votes, the state of Michigan. Per Public Policy Polling, he leads there by one point:

Public Policy Polling. 9/6-7. Likely voters. MoE 2.9% (July results)

Obama (D) 47 (46)
McCain (R) 46 (43)

As critical as victory is in Bush-won swing states like Colorado, Florida, Ohio and Virginia, it is every bit as critical for Obama to hang on in the bigger states won by Kerry, such as Michigan and Pennsylvania

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Re: If McCain wins

Postby King-of-Awdal » Mon Sep 08, 2008 10:04 pm

Obama or not there will be a base in Djibouti. On the other hand i think you should tell your people to give McCain MN or else. :lol: Actually all Pro-TFG people should vote for McCain it would make sense. :up:

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Re: If McCain wins

Postby Cawar » Mon Sep 08, 2008 10:04 pm

FAH1223 wrote:
Cawar wrote:
Fah, be prepared for a surprise..come Oct..from the GOP..just dont be disapointed if and when it happens.


You think Bush is going to attack a country or some sort of terrorist crisis will emerge?

Old games aren't working this year, enough is enough!


No, I think this time the news will have something to do with the killing and/or capturing of some big shot alleged terrorist. or something similar :mrgreen:

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Re: If McCain wins

Postby FAH1223 » Mon Sep 08, 2008 10:05 pm

McCain got a boost from the convention, it was EXPECTED.

Obama will kill him in the debates in 2 weeks!

Tonight Wild Bill had a sit down with Obama. Expect a big economic message :up:

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Re: If McCain wins

Postby Cawar » Mon Sep 08, 2008 10:08 pm

Fah, lets face..Obama is no good debater..

With his nuance and trying to explain every point with details..he will seem to complicated and sophisticated for the average American Joe..
And we all know what sells with them idiots are just some pandering soundbites..which the reps. are very good at.

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Re: If McCain wins

Postby FAH1223 » Mon Sep 08, 2008 10:44 pm

Cawar wrote:Fah, lets face..Obama is no good debater..

With his nuance and trying to explain every point with details..he will seem to complicated and sophisticated for the average American Joe..
And we all know what sells with them idiots are just some pandering soundbites..which the reps. are very good at.


You kidding me? :lol:

McCain isn't a good debator...AT ALL

Obama will have the edge, watch and see

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Re: If McCain wins

Postby SummerRain » Mon Sep 08, 2008 11:19 pm

IF McBush wins its official Canada uu qaxaya...but there is like a 99% chance that will not happen. :D

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Re: If McCain wins

Postby FAH1223 » Mon Sep 08, 2008 11:22 pm

King-of-Awdal wrote:Obama or not there will be a base in Djibouti. On the other hand i think you should tell your people to give McCain MN or else. :lol: Actually all Pro-TFG people should vote for McCain it would make sense. :up:


Thats stupid and it is not happening.

Any Somali who is voting in this election based on the situation in Somalia is a bonafide dumb ass. You think anyone gives two shids about that place? :lol:

Ismahan, :mrgreen: :up: :up: talking my language

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Re: If McCain wins

Postby Babygirl- » Mon Sep 08, 2008 11:22 pm

Ismahaan Hoyadaay and her friends think they will be hunted by the republicans canada beey uu socdaan... :lol: :lol: :lol:

Horta Nader baan layabaa muu haro wax mataraha.


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