today Alshabab incursion has been serverly weakened and decreased to hit and run tactics, as a result tribal unity in region is reducing and already Ahlu sunna wal jamaaca is starting to fall apart into Marehan and Cayr.
if this continues Marehan military base south of Guriceel will move back north towards bohol savanah and prepare war against Cayr, vacating the front which has kept Alshabab at bay and propably leading to Alshabab invasion.
Marehan should take out Cayr before pacification, they create too much problems in the regions in places like Dhusamareb and Cadaado




