What does melez zenawi dying mean for somalia

[herndonhomer]

1. Power vacuum and ensuing civil war for ethiopia.

2. No more amharas marching through xamar.

3. No more amharas/isaaqs occupying sool iyo togdheer.

[jalaaludin5]

1. Power vacuum and ensuing civil war for ethiopia.

It doesn't hurt to fantasize.

2. No more amharas marching through xamar.

Ethiopians are marching through Xamar not just amhara, including Somali-ethios.

3. No more amharas/isaaqs occupying sool iyo togdheer.

Sool belongs to Somaliland.

Now stand up and salute.

[herndonhomer]

[quote="herndonhomer"]3. No more amharas/isaaqs occupying sool iyo togdheer.
[/quote]

Sool belongs to Somaliland.

Now stand up and salute.
[img]http://www.somalilandnet.com/sawirada/somaliland.gif[/img][/quote]

By the will of ALLAH, sool will never belong to somaliland. It doesn't hurt to fantasize that isaaqs will influence that area

[jalaaludin5]

isaq are influencing "that area" in your face as well as your toll's faces

[Khalid Ali]

The opposition are dis organized so the tplf will bring some one forward to succeed melez zanawi unless the Amhaaras surpise us right now the europeans are setting up something as we speak if Melez dies how to govern Ethiopia.

Somalia was not destroyed by Ethiopia people of Somalia destroyed their country the ethiopians just took advantage of the bad situation ur in.

Ur government invited Ethiopia in their country its not like they just came there a, huge sections of ur people support ethiopian troops in Somalia.

[The_Patriot]

If Meles dies it doesnt change the status quo infact there is fear that a rightwing might take over.

[herndonhomer]

ethiopian muslims have already began revolting across the country.

[grandpakhalif]

melez zenawi dying is not whats important, whats important is how the ethiopian people react to his death. I predict that nothing of major concern will happen the ethiopian people will just allow for a peaceful transition into statehood, unlike somalia, ethiopia and the TPLF in general have shared power well and have proper institutions in place to absorb any radical leadership change. I think the foreign minister or something is now the defacto prime minister of the country and nothing big will happen. if anything does happen the TPLF has already developed their regions so much to an extent that a volatile ethiopia may come to serve their interest and to create a state that is Tigray independent. So its pretty much a win win for the TPLF either the country goes down in a political crisis and they continue statehood unabated as already defined in the ethiopian constitution or they continue the status quo. I have to admit I admire tigray prowess, they have always been a people far above they other ethnic groups in modern day ethiopia. the Axumite kingdom in the 5th century AD all the way to Melez zenawi they have proven to be political geniuses and cannot afford an amhaara dominated govt in Addis ababa.

[Khalid Ali]

The Ethiopians will allow a transition happen the question is what kind of
The opposition is not clear majority of the ethiopians are sick of tired of woyane.
Amhaaras gambeele oromo sidamo talakmo harari gurage etc etc
Even many tigrayans are pissed with melez

The independence thing for tigray is out of the question the plan was abay tigray
Greater tigray which means afar region tigray region and the red sea afar coast of eritrea
This will never happened thus the tigrayans arE stuck in ethiopia.
Amhaaras will never allow tigray seceding the tigrayans stole lots of amhaara highland
The tigrayans are cowards to be honest its the amhaaras that. Expanded abesynia since the 12 century
Capturing the land of the afar oromo sidamo gambele harari etc etc.
The made ethiopia what is today In the solomonic dynasty there was only wan tigray king yohannes and he claimed his nobilty through an amhaara grandmother of his who was a member of the royal family
The amhaaras will take over if they are organized and they will get rid of ethnic federalism
But even they are not organized and can't pick a leader some amhaaras flirt with the idea of bringin back the Ethiopian monarchy

Either way the ethiopIans have some serious challenges. Meles is dying he will not come back

So we shall see how it goes