Kulmiye can win Majority in Sool and Sanaag

[Museyusuf]

GOBOLKA SOOL:

Degmada……………………………………..Tirada Ansaxday

Laascaanood………………………………….29,558
Caynaba…………………………………………31,052
Xuddun……………………………………………5,341
Taleex……………………………………………..5,145
Wadar Guud: 71,096

Kulmiye could win 30,000 votes from caynaba district, 15,000 from Lascanood and 2,500 votes from taleex. That's 47,500 votes. This equals 67% of sool votes

GOBOLKA SANAAG:

Ceerigaabo……………………………………..50,432
Ceel Afweyn……………………………………17,962
Garadag………………………………………….12,203
Badhan……………………………………………..4,625
Wadar Guud: 85,222

Kulmiye could win 16,000 cerigaabo, 17,000 ceel afwayn, 12,000 Garadag and 2,000 from Badhan. That's 47,000 out of 85,000. That would be 56% of Sanaag votes.

[FBISOMALIA]

votes in Xuddun ,Taleex , Badhan

[kanadiid90]

after that lecture about the sayid they better show up dhabacyo

[Sharmarke91]

GOBOLKA SOOL:

Degmada……………………………………..Tirada Ansaxday

Laascaanood………………………………….29,558
Caynaba…………………………………………31,052
Xuddun……………………………………………5,341
Taleex……………………………………………..5,145
Wadar Guud: 71,096

Kulmiye could win 30,000 votes from caynaba district, 15,000 from Lascanood and 2,500 votes from taleex. That's 47,500 votes. This equals 67% of sool votes

GOBOLKA SANAAG:

Ceerigaabo……………………………………..50,432
Ceel Afweyn……………………………………17,962
Garadag………………………………………….12,203
Badhan……………………………………………..4,625
Wadar Guud: 85,222

Kulmiye could win 16,000 cerigaabo, 17,000 ceel afwayn, 12,000 Garadag and 2,000 from Badhan. That's 47,000 out of 85,000. That would be 56% of Sanaag votes.

Kulmiye would probably win the whole lot in Sool because the Dhulbahante clans have no reason to vote for Wadani or UCID.

I'm not sure about Sanaag laakin i'd imagine close results between Kulmiye and Wadani.

How did you derive the 16,00 at Erigavo for Kulmiye? the HJ population there?

Ultimately, these results have revealed the extent that eastern regions are disengaged with Somaliland politics.

[Museyusuf]

GOBOLKA SOOL:

Degmada……………………………………..Tirada Ansaxday

Laascaanood………………………………….29,558
Caynaba…………………………………………31,052
Xuddun……………………………………………5,341
Taleex……………………………………………..5,145
Wadar Guud: 71,096

Kulmiye could win 30,000 votes from caynaba district, 15,000 from Lascanood and 2,500 votes from taleex. That's 47,500 votes. This equals 67% of sool votes

GOBOLKA SANAAG:

Ceerigaabo……………………………………..50,432
Ceel Afweyn……………………………………17,962
Garadag………………………………………….12,203
Badhan……………………………………………..4,625
Wadar Guud: 85,222

Kulmiye could win 16,000 cerigaabo, 17,000 ceel afwayn, 12,000 Garadag and 2,000 from Badhan. That's 47,000 out of 85,000. That would be 56% of Sanaag votes.

Kulmiye would probably win the whole lot in Sool because the Dhulbahante clans have no reason to vote for Wadani or UCID.

I'm not sure about Sanaag laakin i'd imagine close results between Kulmiye and Wadani.

How did you derive the 16,00 at Erigavo for Kulmiye? the HJ population there?

Ultimately, these results have revealed the extent that eastern regions are disengaged with Somaliland politics.

As for lasanood district I have Kulmiye half the votes, because wadani can also get votes. But I know Kulmiye is going to win in lascanood, I was just being generous. Xudun is going to be hard for Kulmiye because I don't think any ugadhyahan have registered. Only the HY Sacad Yoonis who live there did. So wadani would get the 5000 votes from there.

As for Sanaag ceelafwayne is 90% HJ so I would expect Kulmiye to get huge votes from there just like the last election. Garadag is almost exclusively HJ, so Kulmiye could get the votes from there. Cerigaabo is mixed there are HY, HJ and Dhulbahante all present. Although HY are majority in that region. HJ and Dhulbahante both present. HJ live in xiis district and. So between them they can get from 1/3 to 1/2 of the votes for Kulmiye. That all comes down to Dhulbahante voting.

[Sharmarke91]

Kulimiye will win in all the other 4 regions as well and therefore the election.

Wadani and Ucid are just wasting their money and energy in campaigning, for an election they're certain to lose.

[Ben Dover]

How many times did I say this?

HJ + Dhulbahante votes in Sool and Sanaag practically delivers the East on a plate to Kulmiye. It would have been nice to get better participation though.

[GeesiHanad1]

HY Ceerigabo uun bay ku badantahee
Gobol ahaan HJ ayaa ku badan.

[GeesiHanad1]

Mayle samaale
Hawiye
Maantana Daarood!!!

[Museyusuf]

Muse Abokor alone would get Kulmiye 70,000 votes in Sool and Sanaag. Plus they live in Saxil and Togdheer. They could get another 50,000 from there. That's 120,000 votes.

[Sahibzada]

kkkkk Gabiley alone has more voters then Sool & Sanaag combined

[PanSomaliNationalist]

The only elections happening in taleex are puntland elections