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Furthermore.....if sl pulled out of the east AS from the south and IS from Golis would expand into the lawless east.

This would threaten the western sl.
So sl abandoning the east will only endager its interests.
PS dont forget AS has thousands of sympathisers in sl.

AS are not based on a geographical area......they're in every population especially in Burco/east.

Don't forget Burco is the spiritual homeland of Somali Wahabism.

The sl govt/ people face a number of possible threats.
Abandoning the east will mean the rise of fanatical groups in the north.

If anything Western sl needs the east as a buffer.

I think you’re misreading or ignoring a very highly likely scenario.

The Cidagale might be sympathetic with your current plight, but don’t confuse sympathy with outright support. They will not risk money and manpower for a lost course. Infact I would be surprised if the whole of HY supports it. When the day comes to pick up the gun, you will realise supporting war is not like supporting your local football team. When you loose it will involve deaths, destruction, and defeat.

The Cidagale are smart people, are the whole of HY dumb deaf and demented?

The baboon doesn't represent anybody , in fact he has zero respect within his on reer Guuleed never mind the wider ciidagale who rejects this drunkard buffoon. And even if the Ciidagale side with h.y or not , this won't change anything , even in the civil war during the 90s the h.y managed to fight on two fronts one against the H.J in the east and the Sacad Muuse in the west despite the ciidagale and their Cabdi Waraabe snitches siding with the Zubeeria.

The biggest ally of Caare and the discontent of the h.y block are the likes of Biixi , Taani and Kaahin. As long as they continue the unholy alliance of Jeegaan and monopolizing all political and economic power, even the aloof segment of the h.y clan will finally be forced to side with not necessarily Caare but completely withdrew from SL>

The crucial issue now are 2 things would this Biixi and his Zubeeria avoid the abyss and make reform , and if not once h.y unite against this Biixi would as before the H.Jeclo rush in Zubeeria defense>?

If we are all honest with ourselves, the HY masses have been failed time and again, by those they have chosen to represent them. It’s easy to point fingers at others, it’s much harder to man up admit your failure so you pounce again.

When the HY supported Riyaale against Silanyo which cost him the election. The situation was handled in a far better manor, which in turn propelled Silanyo to the presidency. Why are you choosing a childish destructive method. What is this jeegan you all harp on about. It’s just to tribes who have political interests aligned. It’s like you have given up on politics and accepted your defeat, meaning now you want to change the game to the gun. If you couldn’t win in the ballot box you won’t win at war.

Easier said than done.....the ha/hj alliance is political, economical and military that has been years in the making.

It would make more sense for the hy to forge new political alliances of themselves.

Wadani lost the election by about 200,000 votes....that's with minimal Harti participation. They got less than half of the Gadurbursi and not even all the Ciidagale.
Ciise too are up for grabs.

So it doesnt take a genius to realise Wadani could defeat the ha/hj alliance if they're able to broaden their support base beyond a single subclan.

Easier said than done.....the ha/hj alliance is political, economical and military that has been years in the making.

It would make more sense for the hy to forge new political alliances of themselves.

Wadani lost the election by about 200,000 votes....that's with minimal Harti participation. They got less than half of the Gadurbursi and not even all the Ciidagale.
Ciise too are up for grabs.

So it doesnt take a genius to realise Wadani could defeat the ha/hj alliance if they're able to broaden their support base beyond a single subclan.

Ha iyo hj haday 100 sano isu codaynayaan waxba nagama gelin oo taa cidi ma diidine waxa la qaabkay doorasho ku sheegi u dhacday oo madmadow badan ku jiray iyo siday militariga u adeegsadeen.militariga,boliska ,barlamanka,guurtida,komishanka iyo maxkamada sare intuba jeegaanta ayay gacanta u galeen markaa way adagtahay si isbedel ku yimaado.jeegaantu ina qaabkan wax laga bedelo ma ogola,anaga iyo ummadda kalena ma ogolin inay sidan sii ahaato.

Hy could have easily won. The elections if they played smart first Ciiro was not the best of choice second. Replacing mumin seed with the unknown Canadian ambassador was a bad move. And simply they had to focus on change. Real change the people were really fed up with kulmiye. But wadani was just udub with some new things and new faces. They could have easily get allot of sacad muse votes to allot of sacad muse hated muse. They thought they could win the elections with garxajis voting us one block but it didn't happen because of ucid makahil of samaroon were divided. Muse won because he first got the majority of hargeisa and majority of togdheer. And he presented him self as a strong man to cut on corruption. And almost the majority of awdal.. What people also have to understand is people here in Somaliland want change but people don't take politicians to serious. Because ki shalay kulmiye will join wadani or ucid. People actually miss siilaannyo days allot of hy preferred siillaanyo because siilaannyo govt lacagta la iska dadaadinjiray free lunches cars etc this is all gone now. Muse stopped allot of this. 2017 was the biggest test we survived this means somaliland is stronger today.