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Analysts say the strike is likely to harden extremists and make it more difficult to appeal to moderate elements in the Islamist movement, which contains many clan members, businessmen and members of the Somali Diaspora.
Iise Ali Geedi, an analyst at the Somali University, says the attacks will increase anti-American sentiment. The attack may also weaken the position of the prime minister, who wishes to bring more militant elements into the talks against the wishes of the president.







James Dahl wrote:The western press are rejoicing at the killing of Ayrow, but I don't see this as the huge success that the US hopes it would be. He was one of the UIC/Shabbab's better commanders, but they have LOTS of commanders. If anything, this will solidify Mukhtar Robow as overall leader of the resistance. And to be honest, this may actually strengthen it, as Ayrow was a loose cannon and embarrassed the resistance many times with his overzealousness and cruelty.
To be honest I'm a bit happy that the Shabbab is fully under the control of Mukhtar Robow. He at least has never committed an atrocity, while Ayrow has a history of them going back to Bu'ale. Ayrow helped to further the military success of al-Shabbab, but he's done terrible things to their reputation. I'm actually glad he didn't survive to become part of the post-Ethiopian administration.




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