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the 2 top competitors 4 the speakership, + gas hopes raises

Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 5:14 pm
by sahal80
It was about to consider gaas to have ended with this weekend but his hopes seems now are raising after jurile has dropped off his candidacy.
the two top candidates that the battle will take between them are galedh and jawaari. the professor galedh has 45 hawiye votes, all of them are voting for him except 15 mudulood mps. He also has the votes of dhuloos, ogadeens and leelkase besides other votes from sharif hassan, others, and so on. he nearly has 85 votes but desperately needs to conquer his larger clans base.
The professor jawaars situation to qualify for winning it is uncertain, his clans mps had given their oaths to sharif hassan and that its their duty to move their clan forward yet, its unpredictable what half of their mps may do. he has half of darood votes.
If galedh wins then the candidates that will face eachother are:
Sharif hasan to face shaykh sharif, cadoow, warfaa, samatar.
Then each will get votes from certain clans that lost their hopes and who gets the 138 votes will be president.

Re: the 2 top competitors 4 the speakership, + gas hopes rai

Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 5:52 pm
by samadoon-waaxid
thats an old news,Galaydh's tally of votes are over 120 as of now.though, variables and alliances on the ground are changing on a daily bases.

Re: the 2 top competitors 4 the speakership, + gas hopes rai

Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 6:19 pm
by sahal80
thats an old news,Galaydh's tally of votes are over 120 as of now.though, variables and alliances on the ground are changing on a daily bases.
ok, up to now, he is ahead of jawaari who has Maximum 60 votes. Nothing will change if galedh keep securing some independent subclans inside puntland and jubaland first.

Re: the 2 top competitors 4 the speakership, + gas hopes rai

Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 6:35 pm
by Khalid Ali
He will most likely get majority of the rahanweyn votes
and he will get also the half of the hawiye votes
And most likely all the daarood will vote against him only his own 8 clan members will vote for him and maybe few absames will vote for him 2

Re: the 2 top competitors 4 the speakership, + gas hopes rai

Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 6:38 pm
by samadoon-waaxid
jawaari has 60? it doesnt even make sense.Sakiin has the D&M block on lock and got all 60 of em.Galaydh's biggest chunk of new supporters come from the waqoyie galbeed communities.
Emperior;actually all of D&M are voting for Galaydh,u got that one wrong.

Re: the 2 top competitors 4 the speakership, + gas hopes rai

Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 6:43 pm
by Khalid Ali
Samadoon galaydh also needs to secure all the votes of the non majeerteen and merehan
Leeelkase warsangali Absame these subclans have no presidential candidate

Yeaah the majority of rahanweyn will vote for galaydh maybe a few will vote for sakin opponent latest news faroole is even bribing the small rahanweyn to vote for jawaars.

Samadoon the hawiye votes arre divided because hawiye some of them want sakin out and some of them do not want to see a daarood president or prime minister its a pick and choose for them.

Re: the 2 top competitors 4 the speakership, + gas hopes rai

Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 6:55 pm
by sahal80
He will most likely get majority of the rahanweyn votes
and he will get also the half of the hawiye votes
And most likely all the daarood will vote against him only his own 8 clan members will vote for him and maybe few absames will vote for him 2
galedh has all hawiye votes ecxept mudulood,they are not divided about who will be the speaker exept the mudulood case. he has as well the azania group votes, leelkase. Sharif hassan votes from his clan and others. Jawaari has half of darood votes and might have half of rahanwen that is 60 votes. The votes of dir are uncertain wich one of the will get it yet jawaaris case with clan is uncertain unlike of galedh.