this analysis is not with or aganist any one, its based on the political reality.
As we know the motion was signed by 168 mps
In that day it was said around 200 mps were present
Means only 32 of them were in favor of the pm
I said in that day I will give him about 70 mps as far he can push himself
The speaker who was away has now called all of the mps to attend...
Now the pms hidden agendas is to reduce the votes of no confdence-160- by...
Bribery has become necessary in this parliament but in that case it will depend on who offers more
I would say the pms camp may secure about 100 mps at most and the votes of no confidence will still be enought to oust him about 139 mps.
Political cards
The biggest factor is the politicians experience and his political strength
For this reason I see the somali pm not winning this battle, what's his political experience? did he had a political strength and a political position based on whatever?
He attends to do so from now on...that is a different thing.
Some region is strongly againist the pm, this, if we can't be sure for others who have been againist him too yesterday.
Looks like the presidents camp and mostly his adiviser abdi shakur warsame are spreading tactically some rumors about pm post candidates that dont hail from the same region as the current pm.
