President hassan sheekh will continue his first term but will not get a second term as all the political conditions are againist him
Dam jadid will go with him
Al islah are divided
There are two camps who are strong candidates to replace hassan sheekh
TFG guys may back!
Ala shaykh has two candidates, sh sharif and the HIPS wing professor afyare ilmi,
Some believe that sh sharif will be back
The other camp is abdi wali gaas, puntland leader
The reason he lost the last elections was because of not having puntland support, him being there is just to proof to the world how he is a good governor, he also works closely with the govt so he can stay close to xamar!
However, its believed that Gaas may get assasinated by a man who is his biggest local rival
Sources are saying that the US is adopting now a new possion that is againist the somali federalism and will advocate soon every province to manage itself alone after having seen how federalim may cause a new tribal wars.





