This article is full of a huge weird informations looks like more rumours than a true information, how can an important diplomate state this? Yes he lives in nairobi for a while waiting the ugandan forces that will keep his own security under the UN command to get implemented in there. He also talks about kamal gutaale who recently resigned from his deputy governor post meeting with the donors againist the government! All this indicates being an article full of rumours though it has some true in it.
This article was published yesterday, it may give you a clue about an inside info that I was revealing in the last weeks wich states that abdiwali gaas of puntland planning to be the next president of somalia by setting up his own vission and road map and that xamar still has a chance to change the things in between (2014-2015)
The theory of making another road map and transion doesn't work! That page was closed, however there could be a fight on the vision2016, from a govt owned and led process to a regional-center partnership, therefore, govt alone may not implement its vision like it was seen before as a parmanent govt that will lead somalia into the constitutional and democratic stages
Who delivers the vision will likely to control the political situation in post-2016
The other point is that the west have not the same policies towards somalia, the US who recognized the somali govt supports her more than the europians, US has its security concerns and concentrates on the security situation and the fight againist al shabaab while the europians are economically motivated and their policies are about an AID intervention, oil deals etc
HLPF=high level partners forum
"The SRSG Nicholas Kay talking to some Somali politicians in Nairobi stated that if there are no
developments and clear progress in Somalia by November, the International
Community plans to take decisive action in the next HLPF meeting in Copenhagen,
Denmark, which could include similar roadmap when ending the transition will be
agreed, where by leaders of Puntland and Jubba as well as new emerging states
in Somalia will take part the implementation of the future roadmap discussions in
order to be more inclusive and representative. Therefore, time is of essence
and if no concrete actions towards the review of the constitution, the
implementation of federalism and the democratization process by Novemeber, then
the Federal Government will lose its status. This is the most critical test to the
leadership of President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud and it is a real wakeup call that
cannot be ignored.
Recently the President of Puntland Dr Abdiweli Mohamed Ali wrote a letter to donors urging
them to attend a consultative meeting in Puntland to discuss the way forward.
Dr Ali claims that the federal government lost golden opportunity to show leadership
and failed to reach-out regional states that are important to the unity of
Somalia. Dr Ali demanded that Puntland deserves special status with regards to
the delivery of the COMPACT and the new deal pledges. The idea of the new
roadmap comes from Puntland as Dr Ali knows too well on how to implement a
roadmap as he was the key player in the implementation of the 2012 roadmap in
Somalia. Will President Mohamud realize this golden opportunity where he can
lead a Somali led process of reconciliation, political reach-out, and make the
necessary compromises needed to revive the confidence of Somali people? Time
will tell if he is brave enough to save the nation.
Yes, it can be done and all it needs a great vision, strong decision making, and understanding that
time is running out. The alternative is to resign. MPs are circulating petition
to impeach the President while elites and former politicians are debating the
next move to save the nation. The definition of Insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and
expecting different results.
Dr
Hassan Farah,
Political
Analyst & Expert in East Africa politics – contributes articles to East
Africa Magazine – hassan.farah@iname.com1st May 2014"
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