Sahal80
I know some people would do anything for money, walaalkooda xitaa dhabarka weey ka tooga naayaan.
i hope Hassan Sheikh stays in power for a long time to come insha Allah, i also hope he gets rid of this Jubaland thing that has caused him so much, he lost the support of Hawiye, Mareexaan, Dir, and Digil iyo Mirifle.
i don't know how long Axmed Madoobe got left. I know the government gave Ahmed Madoobe 2 years,
how long does he have left? And what is gonna happen after two years? Is the government gonna recognize Jubaland?
I know the interior minister is against Jubaland, i support Mr Goodax for standing up to Axmed Madoobe. CabdiKariim Guuleed was very soft as interior minister, he handed Kismaayo to Axmed Madoobe, i am glad he was replaced before he gave Axmed Madoobe more power
you made a point of losing the majoritys support because of recognizing raskamboni, this has created many enemies to the govt and the old conspirators are still conspiring againist the govt despite that agreement for their own reasons!
There is a dj planB to get rid of ahmed madobe before his term ends(before the elections) using the insecurity card and replacing him with an appointed unity administration/new guys who are not opposed by all sides "bc currently there are rivals: madobe vs hiiraale".
But there are the ethiopian and kenyan plans too, the ethiopians want to get rid of the pro-govt forces and barre hiiraale ahead of the liberations so their guys/armies can replace al shabaab and now we see them backing the southren ahlussunna who are allied with jubba admin againist the pro govt forces in bulahawo to create a pro kenyan and ethiopian forces in ceelwaaq-bulahawo-dolow-kismayo
There is a pressure on the kenyan govt from its opposation, parliament, the people because of the war moving to inside kenya and maybe to its muslim populated tourist region let alone to its somali opposation region like wajiir and the terrorist attacks in nairobi, this can change the whole kenyan strategy towards somalia
At the moment they want to deport all somalis wich has made the westren intelligence to say it will create more opportunities for the terrorists!
When it comes to the security, kenya is not like ethiopia even the kenyan top security and police officials have been targeted a week ago!
These are ther three scenarios for jubba.
Btw the new interior is not againist the jubba admin, its the illiterate websites who think so. He besically said there is no admin sharci/has legal status and when the journalist asked him even jubba he said even jubba. This is a long constitutional process even puntland has no such status officially.