The 10-22-15 report from Chatham House:
https://ldesp.wordpress.com/2015/10/22/ ... al-future/
My understanding of the plan is that the Federal Government is to have enough trained troops by the end of 2016 for all foreign troops to be out of the country, although it is looking increasingly like this may turn out just to be those from neighboring countries.
I get the idea the IC is afraid to eliminate Shabaab in the Jubba Valley before they can get an aid/economy development program in place.
Have you seen this:
http://www.stabilityfund.so/
or this:
http://hiiraan.com/news4/2015/Oct/10206 ... malia.aspx
The Stability Fund has projects in the north and central areas and has recently begun an ambitious fisheries project in Kismayu. But they are stretched thin and apparently don't have the resources for Baraawe-Gedo-Bay-Bakool or any returnees from the camps in Kenya. I am assuminng this new USAID thing is intended to supplement what the EU has already been doing with the Stability Fund. But I don't see how they can actually get on the ground in areas like the Middle Jubba until Jilaal of next year.