The Geopolitical Shift in East Africa - Opportunity Somalia

[smooth]

Some very interesting events occurred all within the same day in Somalia, I'll summarize them as below in chronological order

1. Nicolas Key speech that Amisom will leave Somalia and SNA will replace them, stating that its "momentum towards peace is unstoppable"

2. Turkey signed agreement to train SNA these include new Navy along with other Western Countries (20000 already trained) to eventually takeover, also announces a military base in Mogadishu

3. Shortly after nervous Kenyan minister spoke out today saying " kenyan troops will not leave Somalia aslong as al-shabab is there "

4. Not long after, a frigging Ethiopian foreign minister meets not with Somalia's foreign minister but with her lackey Ahmed Futo Madoobe, he announces training of Jubaland forces and sending troops there, very belligerent and open, it was all kept secret before.

5. To drag the Turkish name through the mud further a lackey auditor at the behest of Ethiopia goes of to the press accusing turkish firms of evading financial accountability.


This is all about the Americans ( and her lackey arab states & turkey) countering the Chinese & Russian interest everywhere in the world, its all about pipelines, even what you see in Syria, the video below tells the story, as I don't want to focus on it much
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EpMCs2XlDRE

Every country the Chinese struck oil deals with (in Africa libya, sudan) either carved up, destroyed or on their way to being destroyed, the Ethiopian's are in bed with the Chinese, USA cut aid funding a while back as retaliation which the Chinese now subsidize, we see what's happening in Ethiopia today with civil unrest purposely engineered because of the Chinese oil and Pipeline (same Djibouti), to make things more interesting the Dam project brought Sudan/Egypt to the foray as well, as a result we are seeing this seismic shift of Geopolitic's towards mainly Somalia and partially Eritrea, This is also why the russian's long before built ports/airstrips in Somalia

Eritrea is being brought back from the death by visits of Arab emirates recently and numerous deals after decades of isolation, we are seeing the same happening in Somalia, hence the comments of the Ethiopian foreign minister and the Kenyan minister today after the announcements and signed deals, they are nervous, especially with HSM relations with Saudi's and state visits, expect them to unleash there al-shabab lackeys and everything else they got to disrupt this, if we play our cards right the Ethiopians will either disintegrate internally which is more likely or leave without a bullet being fired Sun tzu style, there is already talks of UN troops replacing corrupt Amisom with Emirate countries and turkey making up the majority.

The reality is that we are all obsessed about clan politic's while in reality were are just pawns on a global chess board, this is an opportunity for Somalia to get out of this quagmire, it needs to take this by the scruff of the neck, but unfortunately we have challenges, the highest being the clan based agenda's and never ending Fitnah pushed by Puntland, just this week alone they sponsored few qabiil elements in bakool to form an illegal state raising tensions, they also summoned some lackey hiiraan elders to garowe to cause strive in the upcoming state's formation, those people came back refusing to take part causing delays, but they have slowly isolated themselves awakening Digil Mirifle wrath upon themselves, hopefully 2016 will see their utter irrelevancy in Somali Politic's and we can finally have a safe country to permanently go back to, Ameen!

[AwRastaale]

Somalia does not have an army. We saw some agents including Turkish and UN ones training few Hawiye militia men but that cannot be SNA. If you ask Jubbaland do they have an army in the SNA----they will spit in your face. If you ask Puntland if it has army representation in the "SNA", they will piss on your leg.

The same is true with the Maay Republic who are slowly training their RRA in Baidao thanks to Addis Ababa.

So really we have some HNM (Hawiye National Militia), even Hawiye is not represented fully, but no SNA.

They can't even secure Mogadishu let alone take over security from AMISOM who will remain in the country beyond 2020. It is lucrative business for them.

Ethiopian army too will remain.

Jubbaland will develop its own forces and it's not Ethiopia's agenda but even Arab leaders. How many armed vehicle did UAE deliver for Ahmed Blacky?

PL already has its separate forces and even Gass takes his own guards from PL whenever he visits Mogadishu not trusting Hawiye militia men.

Building Hawiye forces under the mandate of "SNA" is very dangerous game and one that could replay the 1990s civil war all over again. So the international community needs to train the Banadir forces as Banadir regional forces and distribute the rest of the fund to the other Federal States. Each region has to maintain its own security as the case already. Hawiye must not wear the SNA helmet pretending to be 'national army' to attack other regions as they already doing in Shabelle.

That's the truth in terms of 'army'.

[Strategic]

Providing military assistance to the Somali government is in the interest of U.S. national security, President Barack Obama said in a memorandum.


from UPI.
Ethiopian Agent aka rastaale
SNA is multi-clan ethnicity that is mainly hawiye who are fighting ISIS terrorist and uncle same doesnt give shit who control the army as long as SNA can do the job of stopping the islamist threat of ISIS.
1/3 of Jl militia are rectruited from hawiye clan and that is already a fact,
PL have to deal with the piracy ,the plan is already there and nothing you can stop ,SNA will be upgraded by the Major powers that be -USA and its alliance Turkey,Italy etc even arabs will have to deal with the Gov of Mogadishu.Stop this nonsense you spewing which makes no sense.AMISOM will stay as long as their mandate is there.whyddo youthink pentagon has 250 military advisor in Mogadishu traning SNA to fight Terrorism,UK troops in mogadishu to train also SNA.

[SahanGalbeed]

A strong hawiye is good for somalia , and a strong somalia is good for the somali I am . A lot of people from all walks of life are interested in Somalia staying for ever chaotic . No real somali can stand that, I pray all the time for you my brothers , we're gonna make it

[smooth]

Ethiopian Lackey

That clanish division Ethiopia had been creating for years is coming to an end, most Somali's grossly overestimate their power, there influence is waning pretty much every day by day, just look at galmudug they tried pushing in their lackey Abdiqasim as Galmudug leader backing him publicly and with troops, he wasn't even a contender and it backfired spectacularly people turned against him because of it, they then back Ahlu sunnah silently, but that has gone now as most of them have now struck deals with Galmudug, your seeing the same thing up and around the country.

Amisom funding will be cut and when that happens you best believe not a single troop will remain, Ethiopia is suffering from its own internal conflicts, they have created far too many enemies with the China oil deals, pipeline & Dam project, the woyane have turned the world against them by aligning themselves with the Chinese, they are now reduced to wailing about Sudan & Egypt giving weapons to rebels, Arab states financing dissidents and their opening relations with Eritrea

The end is in sight my friend, this is Geopolitic's, the west will never allow China/Russia to have this sort of influence in the Horn with oil pipeline, this is why they were backing ISIS and other rebels groups to ensure the deal Assad struck with Russia for oil pipeline through Syria bypassing Turkey on its way to Europe never went ahead that's why you see the civil war, before the civil war Turkey publicly voiced is displeasure for not being in the deal, The American's don't care about idealogical differences, just interest! That's why America, Gulf countries & the Turks are in bed together against the China/Russia/Iran Axis

The Woyane had a big gamble to make, if they stuck with the American axis as they done for decades they would forever be condemned to aid and underdevelopment or go with China get massive developments improve their country tremendously but risk the consequences, they thought they had the military and intelligence network to survive such internal meddling, ethnic demographics and the way they have treated them being a minority themselves will soon ignite them! I pray that Allah hastens that day these Tigrays are overthrown.

[Strategic]

Somalia should Never Never Never antagonize USA,Somalia must go great lenght to befriend AMERICA all the way through good times and hard times and president hassan has just done that .Peace in somalia will make sure American interest in the region is safeguarded.we dont have anything against ethiopia,they have serious internal conflicts that will cripple itself.all we need is patience with uncle SAM.

AW rastaale
soon oromo will have own army,somalia militia in the region,eritrea will fund the rebels somalia doesnt need to do anything.nothing at all.we just keep neutral

[GAMES]

Very interesting analysis. East Africa (and all of Africa for that matter) is going to become a major global player in the next decade or so.

Chinese, Indians, Europeans and Americans are all rushing into Africa to stake their claims and make friends with certain countries or regions.

Its gonna get really interesting in the next 10-20yrs.

[smooth]

Chinese, Indians, Europeans and Americans are all rushing into Africa to stake their claims and make friends with certain countries or regions.

I am hearing a lot of chatter from politicians that a deal was struck with Somaliland, much like when they signed up to federalism but didn't tell its hot-headed population until wikileaks exposed it, the Turks whom basically built much of Berbera during Ottoman rule, want a large SNA base there, Turkey is not alone in this, there is talk of an air force in the future as well, only very selective few people know about the exact details of the deal as its a secret, but the rumours swirling in the political world is either this will be achieved via union, you'll have both Somalia/Somaliland on passport as you have UK/Northern Ireland on the British passports, which is more likely, or the less likely option through recognition, but they are only rumours.

The Turks are absolute masters in Politic's, You should read Erdogan story as a young boy how he was moulded by religious groups up the ranks, from mayor of Istanbul to having full control of what was a powerful secular army loyal to Attaturk that ruled with iron fist anti-religion, how he took control of them reformed them without firing a bullet, eliminating rampant corruption that existed with the secularist, he has good relations with Ethiopia and invests in their country too, they are Machiavellian in a way you can't tell, they are the best thing that has happened to Somalia, but make no mistake, what has brought them to us primarily is INTEREST not ISLAM, it helps that we share the same faith.

[GAMES]

Chinese, Indians, Europeans and Americans are all rushing into Africa to stake their claims and make friends with certain countries or regions.

I am hearing a lot of chatter from politicians that a deal was struck with Somaliland, much like when they signed up to federalism but didn't tell its hot-headed population until wikileaks exposed it, the Turks whom basically built much of Berbera during Ottoman rule, want a large SNA base there, Turkey is not alone in this, there is talk of an air force in the future as well, only very selective few people know about the exact details of the deal as its a secret, but the rumours swirling in the political world is either this will be achieved via union, you'll have both Somalia/Somaliland on passport as you have UK/Northern Ireland on the British passports, which is more likely, or the less likely option through recognition, but they are only rumours.

The Turks are absolute masters in Politic's, You should read Erdogan story as a young boy how he was moulded by religious groups up the ranks, from mayor of Istanbul to having full control of what was a powerful secular army loyal to Attaturk that ruled with iron fist anti-religion, how he took control of them reformed them without firing a bullet, eliminating rampant corruption that existed with the secularist, he has good relations with Ethiopia and invests in their country too, they are Machiavellian in a way you can't tell, they are the best thing that has happened to Somalia, but make no mistake, what has brought them to us primarily is INTEREST not ISLAM, it helps that we share the same faith.

Very interesting. But what would Turkey need a military base in Somalia for though? There are no Kurdish PKK separatist or any kinda thread to Turkey from east Africa.

And as for Somaliland, good luck to them.

[smooth]

Very interesting. But what would Turkey need a military base in Somalia for though? There are no Kurdish PKK separatist or any kinda thread to Turkey from east Africa.

And as for Somaliland, good luck to them.

Its Geopolitic's and safeguarding their interest, they are being undermined by British whom are the prime financiers of al-shabab, they don't even call them al-shabab in their newspapers
http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/origina ... lprit.html

If you look at the UK foreign aid Somalia comes as number 2 with Afghanistan being number 1, this has only started during Sh shariif reign, think about it were that money is being spent when our SNA are under funded, just yesterday in the district of Hodan a dozen Anti-tank TOW missiles were discovered buried under a mosque, who is paying for these? these have been buried there recently, its meant to be used against the Turks

The Turks have the desire for Ottoman empire revival, they will soon enter top 10 world economies, they predict this will happen in 2020, they are heavily dependent on Iranian oil which they want to get away from as soon as possible, hence they are interested in the oil of the coast of Hobyo, they have a lot of $$$ to invest, they are competing against the Chinese in Jowhar for influence, they own largest port and airport in the country and they want to expand to other states, they want to build the port in Hobyo (so far American are blocking it because afweyne signed deals with them for oil), they need a way to protect all their investments from the cockroaches, they know the Ethiopian's are meddling in our affairs but they are not that concerned about them as they have Machiavellian relations with them, its primarily the British.

Its in there interest to have a base there to secure their cash flow, train SNA army so they can secure their borders and only deal with Somalis instead of all these other regional players currently vying for influence, its a smart geopolitical move, their warships are docked in Mogadishu they will control much of the Indian ocean, very strategic, the USSR new this, that's why they built Berbera navy port and so many military airstrips in Somalia

[original dervish]

Somali's should opt for an easy life and sign up to be an American vassal state.
The gulf Arabs haven't done too badly following that model.

[Arcturus]

Koon & their flees common terminology.

Help = Ride
Invest = Exploit
Assisted = Dependency
Develop = Divert
Protect = Disable
Benefits = Squanders
Educate = Miss-orient

Among a few. Re-Read Koon expressions using the decoded-terminology.