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Good read.

Laakin Waxaan qabaa in Gobolada waqooyi lagu kala adkaan ee uu ahaa tanaasul ay sameeyeen beelaha Garxajis. Sida maanta Cirro oo u muujiyey tanaasul isagoo OG in doorashadii dhawaan dhacday ey ahayd mid uu ku jiro mad madow badan, hadana nabada iyo wada noolaashaha ayaa ka muhiim san burbur iyo dawlad la’aan.

Thanks for the info Ustaad Sahal. Waxaan aad ula dhacay waxgaradnimada ninka Cirro ah ee danta guud ka doortay tiisa gaadhka ah oo tanasulay. I salute you Mr. Cirro. Dadku waa iney maslaxada guud wax walba ka hor mariyaan. I salute reer S?land all. Noolaada.

Waxaan rabaa inaan taxliil siyaasadeed ka bixiyo labada magaalo ee ugu Dadka badan Somaliya ama ugu waawayn

Siyaasiyiinta xamar waxay aaminsanyihiin in waqooyiga lagu kala adkaadey 1994kii halka xamar lagu kala adkaan waayey(HG vs Abgaal)

Laakiin in badan oo reer waqooyiga waxay aaminsanyihiin in arintu ku dhamaatey musaalaxo iyo Gogol ay fidiyiin reer Awldal

Sikastaba ha ahaatee cigaal wuxuu ahaa statesman oo la oron karo wuxuu udubada u aasey Nidaam dawladeed oo cadaalad iyo wadanoolaasho ku dhisan haseyaashee waxaa ka dhashtey nidaamkaa taxaaluf(Jeegaan) siyaasaseed oo ku salaysan laba beelood oo ku midaysan hal xisbi

Aduunka waxaan waa caadi shaley wadanka yemen waxaa ku midaysnaa qabiilka xaashid oo u badan zaydiya iyo ururka al islaax oo sunni ah sidoo kale ciidamada Sudan iyo ururka ikhwaanka( al bashiir iyo numayri iyo al bashiir iyo turaabi)

Taxaalufka sudan wuxuu salka ku hayaa qabiilka jacliya iyo qabiilka shaaqiya ooy ka soo jeedaan hogaamiyaasha ciidanka iyo xisbiga


Wadanka imaaraadka waxaa ka jiri jiray imaarado yar oo ingiriiska hoostaga oo midoobey markuu ka baxay qolo walba imaaradeedii ayay ka talisaa laakin waxaa ugu muhiimsan aala nahyaan oo abu dubai dalka ka xukumo iyo aala maktoum oo ka taliya dubai

Sacuudiga wuxuu ku saleysan yahay taxaalufka aala sacuud iyo aala sheekh oo ah hogaamiyaasha diinta oo iska leh religious policeka. Ala sheekh waxay ka soo jeedaan maxamed cabdulwahaab ama wahaabiyada

Awoodu waa inay aruursantahay si loo helo degenaasho siyaasadeed(political stability) laakiiin hadii aysan awoodu xakamaysneen waxaa ka dhalan kara khalkhal siyaasadeed iyo amni

Hadaba waa in la sameeyo powesharing qolana xukunka loo daayo

Reer qaqooyi waxay leeyihiin casabiya qabaliya oo aad u midaysay taas oo u eg inay sii jiri doonto si ay uga badbaadaan masiirkii ay qaadeen kuwa Xamar

Xamar maxaa ka jira hada?

Sidaan horey u sheegnay Xamar laguma kala adkaanin military ahaan tan iyo 91kii laakin waxaa ka jiray system siyaasadeed oo la dhoho "unukaleh" laga bilaabo 2009kii, systemkaan wali waa jiraa ciidamo ahaan, banaadir ahaan iyo qandaraasyo ahaan laakiin waxay ka baxeen daartii xukunka ayagoo tolerance u muujiyay Dawladaan cusub maadama systemkoodii lagu shaqeeyo waxay ku jiraan is abaabul iyo dib isu habeen inta ay dawladaan ka fashilmayso ama dhamaanayso

Dawladaan waxaa ka danbeeyay kooxdii kale ee meesha ku heysatey oo rabtey inay dhanka pmka wax ka xukunto laakiin waxaa ka dafey group yar oo ururkooda siyaasaded hogaamiya waa ururka ala sheekh oo uu madaxda ka yahay sheekh yuusuf caynte(murursade) iyo xisbigooda siyaasadeed oo uu hogaamiyo xassan macalin(murursade) xoghayana ka yahay axmed fiqi(sacad)

Qolada xooghaya ayaa loogu talagalay inay qaataan raysulwasaaraha xiligii doorashada ka hor

Hadaba Farmaajo madaama uu xamar marti ka yahay wuxuu isku dhiibay qolodii seediyaashiis ee awalba raysulwasaaraha ka dhigtey, qolada unukalehna uma arkaan groupkaan inay qatar ku hihiin systemkooda inta ay iska abaabulayaan

Qoladii xooghayaha ama no more unukaleh waxay rabaan inay meesha ka saaraan khayre, hadii ay ku guuleystaan, Farmaajo waa raacayaaa ugu yaraan siyaasad ahaan waa u dhamaatey. Waxaa adkaanaya in marlabaad nin murursade ah baarlamaanku ogolaado hadii la diido laba mar waxaa kalsoonida ku waynaya Farmaajo

Hadii uu magacaabo HG waxay ku xirmi imaaraadka sida cabdi shakuur warsame, waxaa is badali siyaasada gudaha iyo systemkii unukaleh arintaan oo keenaysa kacdoon reer systemka oo meesha ka saari doona Farmaajo waliba waxaa laga taageeri maamulgoboleedyada khaasatan....

Scenarioga Farmaajo saas ayuu ku dhamaanayaa sanad iyo nus gudahood

Halka arin ee meesha ku hayn karta waa asagoo siyasiyan is dhiiba sida raysulwasaare goofkaland, hada wuxu khayre u dhaafey siyaasada iyo amniga wuxuuna ku ekeystey madaxtooyo uu isku soo xiro iyo safar dibada ah laakiin maalintaas gudo iyo dibadba waa uga dhamaatey!

Muqaaranada(comparison) labada dhinac ee Xamar iyo Hargeysa ee aan sameeyay waxaan ka wadaa reer systemka oon rabin is badal inuu dhaco laakiin military iyo siyaasad ahaan hargeysa wayka duwantahay Xamar sidoo kale garabka mucaaradka ma ogalaan in shisheeye soo dhexgalo oo waxay sameeyeen tanaazul intii gacantooda wax ku dumi lahaayeen.


Talada dalka waxaan u dhaafey khayre(siyaasada iyo amniga) at 3:00

The conflict and the problem in SL can't be summarized in 1 paragraph.

Good piece! Aan ku daro laakiin waxaadan xusin awooda meesha uu ku leeyahay Thaabit iyo saameeynti uu ku lahaa in Khayre loo magacaabo Pm taasoo ka dhigan in Unukaa leh ay wali awoodoodii in badan ay sii jirto. Thaabit waxaa uu dowladda ku dhaxleeyahay awood aan yareen waxaana uu ka mid yahay koox loo bixiyay milkiilayaasha waxaa kale oo ka mid ah Fahad Yaasiin. Thaabit iyo Khayre waxaa ay saaxiibeen dowladdii Xassan Sheekh inti ay talada haysay oo uu Thaabit mar ahaa agaasime ku xigeenka madaxtooyada, Khayre na uu ka mid ahaa gacanyarayaaasha Xassan Sheekh. Thaabit waa ay isku dhaceen Xassan Sheekh waxuuna ka eryay shaqadi laakiin marki dambe waxaa soo faragalisay Xassan Sheekh walaashiis oo uu gabar ka qabo waxaana Thaabit loo wareejiyay Mareeynkanka oo uu halkaa qunsul ka noqday Safaaradda Soomaaliya ku leedahay Mareeykanka. Thaabit waxaa uu si hoose ula shaqaynayay Farmaajo waxuuna marki dambe ku soo xiray Xassan Khayre oo ay sxb ahaayeen walisa la sii joogay Damjadiid. Xassan Khayre kolki dambe wuu qiyaamey Damjadiid marki uu olalaha doorashada soo dhawyahay ayuun si farsameeysan kaga baxay isaga oo ku marmarsiyoonaya in Shirkadda SOM Oil Gaas oo uu madaxeeda bariga Afrika ahaa in ay u sheegtay in uu siyaasadda Soomaaliya faraha kala baxo oo uusan gali karin olole doorasho, waxuu kale oo uu ku marmarsiyooday in uu la aqal gali doono naag Isaaq ah oo uu markaas guursaday oo uu Mombasa kula aqalgalayo halkaas na uu ku nasanayo. Waa run tan guurka laakin tan Somoil gaas in ay tiri faraha kala bax waxbo kama jirin waxayna ahayd wax isaga iyo Taabit isla ogyihiin. Khayre waa Murusade Habarceeno, Thaabit hooyadiis na waa Murusade Habarcayno halkaasna qaraabo ayeey ka yihiin. Thaabit waxuu Khayre ka qaaday lacag farabadan oo qayb ka ahayd lacagti lagu maagaliyay doorashadi Farmaajo, waxaa isna lacag kale keenay Fahadyaasiin. Farmaajo waxaa aad ugu qalqaaliyay in Khare magacaabo ninka la yiraahdo Thaabit.

Waxaan rabaa inaan taxliil siyaasadeed ka bixiyo labada magaalo ee ugu Dadka badan Somaliya ama ugu waawayn

Siyaasiyiinta xamar waxay aaminsanyihiin in waqooyiga lagu kala adkaadey 1994kii halka xamar lagu kala adkaan waayey(HG vs Abgaal)

Laakiin in badan oo reer waqooyiga waxay aaminsanyihiin in arintu ku dhamaatey musaalaxo iyo Gogol ay fidiyiin reer Awldal

Sikastaba ha ahaatee cigaal wuxuu ahaa statesman oo la oron karo wuxuu udubada u aasey Nidaam dawladeed oo cadaalad iyo wadanoolaasho ku dhisan haseyaashee waxaa ka dhashtey nidaamkaa taxaaluf(Jeegaan) siyaasaseed oo ku salaysan laba beelood oo ku midaysan hal xisbi

Aduunka waxaan waa caadi shaley wadanka yemen waxaa ku midaysnaa qabiilka xaashid oo u badan zaydiya iyo ururka al islaax oo sunni ah sidoo kale ciidamada Sudan iyo ururka ikhwaanka( al bashiir iyo numayri iyo al bashiir iyo turaabi)

Taxaalufka sudan wuxuu salka ku hayaa qabiilka jacliya iyo qabiilka shaaqiya ooy ka soo jeedaan hogaamiyaasha ciidanka iyo xisbiga


Wadanka imaaraadka waxaa ka jiri jiray imaarado yar oo ingiriiska hoostaga oo midoobey markuu ka baxay qolo walba imaaradeedii ayay ka talisaa laakin waxaa ugu muhiimsan aala nahyaan oo abu dubai dalka ka xukumo iyo aala maktoum oo ka taliya dubai

Sacuudiga wuxuu ku saleysan yahay taxaalufka aala sacuud iyo aala sheekh oo ah hogaamiyaasha diinta oo iska leh religious policeka. Ala sheekh waxay ka soo jeedaan maxamed cabdulwahaab ama wahaabiyada

Awoodu waa inay aruursantahay si loo helo degenaasho siyaasadeed(political stability) laakiiin hadii aysan awoodu xakamaysneen waxaa ka dhalan kara khalkhal siyaasadeed iyo amni

Hadaba waa in la sameeyo powesharing qolana xukunka loo daayo

Reer qaqooyi waxay leeyihiin casabiya qabaliya oo aad u midaysay taas oo u eg inay sii jiri doonto si ay uga badbaadaan masiirkii ay qaadeen kuwa Xamar

Xamar maxaa ka jira hada?

Sidaan horey u sheegnay Xamar laguma kala adkaanin military ahaan tan iyo 91kii laakin waxaa ka jiray system siyaasadeed oo la dhoho "unukaleh" laga bilaabo 2009kii, systemkaan wali waa jiraa ciidamo ahaan, banaadir ahaan iyo qandaraasyo ahaan laakiin waxay ka baxeen daartii xukunka ayagoo tolerance u muujiyay Dawladaan cusub maadama systemkoodii lagu shaqeeyo waxay ku jiraan is abaabul iyo dib isu habeen inta ay dawladaan ka fashilmayso ama dhamaanayso

Dawladaan waxaa ka danbeeyay kooxdii kale ee meesha ku heysatey oo rabtey inay dhanka pmka wax ka xukunto laakiin waxaa ka dafey group yar oo ururkooda siyaasaded hogaamiya waa ururka ala sheekh oo uu madaxda ka yahay sheekh yuusuf caynte(murursade) iyo xisbigooda siyaasadeed oo uu hogaamiyo xassan macalin(murursade) xoghayana ka yahay axmed fiqi(sacad)

Qolada xooghaya ayaa loogu talagalay inay qaataan raysulwasaaraha xiligii doorashada ka hor

Hadaba Farmaajo madaama uu xamar marti ka yahay wuxuu isku dhiibay qolodii seediyaashiis ee awalba raysulwasaaraha ka dhigtey, qolada unukalehna uma arkaan groupkaan inay qatar ku hihiin systemkooda inta ay iska abaabulayaan

Qoladii xooghayaha ama no more unukaleh waxay rabaan inay meesha ka saaraan khayre, hadii ay ku guuleystaan, Farmaajo waa raacayaaa ugu yaraan siyaasad ahaan waa u dhamaatey. Waxaa adkaanaya in marlabaad nin murursade ah baarlamaanku ogolaado hadii la diido laba mar waxaa kalsoonida ku waynaya Farmaajo

Hadii uu magacaabo HG waxay ku xirmi imaaraadka sida cabdi shakuur warsame, waxaa is badali siyaasada gudaha iyo systemkii unukaleh arintaan oo keenaysa kacdoon reer systemka oo meesha ka saari doona Farmaajo waliba waxaa laga taageeri maamulgoboleedyada khaasatan....

Scenarioga Farmaajo saas ayuu ku dhamaanayaa sanad iyo nus gudahood

Halka arin ee meesha ku hayn karta waa asagoo siyasiyan is dhiiba sida raysulwasaare goofkaland, hada wuxu khayre u dhaafey siyaasada iyo amniga wuxuuna ku ekeystey madaxtooyo uu isku soo xiro iyo safar dibada ah laakiin maalintaas gudo iyo dibadba waa uga dhamaatey!

Muqaaranada(comparison) labada dhinac ee Xamar iyo Hargeysa ee aan sameeyay waxaan ka wadaa reer systemka oon rabin is badal inuu dhaco laakiin military iyo siyaasad ahaan hargeysa wayka duwantahay Xamar sidoo kale garabka mucaaradka ma ogalaan in shisheeye soo dhexgalo oo waxay sameeyeen tanaazul intii gacantooda wax ku dumi lahaayeen.


Aar sahalow, imbadan waan aqriye 'analysis' kaada, marwalba mise waxaan dhihi lahaa, intabadan qoraalkaada waxyaabo badan ayaa ka qhaldan. Khaladaaka kujiro xataa umabaahno qof aqoon uleh waxyaalahaad kahadleyso iney ogaato. Waxaan kutilmaamikaraa qoraalkaada adigoo raali ah delusional and out of touch with reality. Waxaan filayaa dadka waxey uaqriyaan qoraalkada is because you have a lot to say and for the untrained eye, it can be easily fooled.

One of the main evidences that your analysis is flawed and worthless is that you never, and I mean never criticise xawaadle. Whenever you discuss hawiye, your scrutiny is always on HG, mursade, abgaal. If your analysis is going to be worth anything or reflect reality to any degree you have to be willing to detach yourself, observations and analysis from qabill emotions, it seem that your incapable of doing this. Abgaalna horta waaba ku waalatey, unukaaleh ayaa nafta nooga qaadey, walaalo abgaal faraha kalabax. Xukunka xamar gacanta abgaal ayuu kujiraa, jeclow mise necbow.

kkk sxb i mention abgaal, HG and murursade bc hawadle have no isbaaro in Xamar, their power is limited to hiiraan and hirshabelle. If you wanna discuss them i will talk about them in anyway. Tankale this is just analysis no hard feelings.

Sahal spins and propoganda.. KKK

Sahal how do you know muse biixi will stop the talks in Turkey . It makes sense though because turkey is not impartial they will support xamars position

Sahal spins and propoganda.. KKK