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my pick of political destinations

Daily chitchat on Somali politics.

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sahal80
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my pick of political destinations

Postby sahal80 » Fri Aug 17, 2018 3:13 pm

Those trolls who fked up my thread new taxaalufaad dont bring your wars here again

In that thread i talked about a new MX-sacad-HG and Co rapprochement so we have seen the new madaxtooyada agaasimaha and the deputy police being Sacad

their Co aka sheekhal who is the commander of the army

Only the abaanduulo who is abgaal was surprise to me since those two posts used to be allocated for different clans and if you know the reason you can explain why maybe a missed something like NISA(i
was working hard the past days)
https://www.idilnews.com/2018/08/16/mad ... y-akhriso/

The other stuff i talked about was ahmed madoobe. since then i heard a new planA on how they wanna remove him. This planA is to plant a pro govt officials in his security so he can be closer to losing his grip on power but the sheikh is resisting this infiltration as he sent back some with their planes and arrested others like taliyaha nabad sugida for JL. We talked about the planb wich is to hold the election in buaale after the SNA and ethiopian troops capture it. Abiy said during his visit to Mogadishu he will cooperate more with the Federal govt so all regions have some worry. Some have lost their tigray middle men aka gabroos others have lost their port interests this why this govt is backing the deal between ethiopia and eritrea bc the regions will be away from ethiopia as eritrea will replace them geopolitically and has also impacted badly on djibouti as well.

The only problem buaale has is lack of airport and institutions so this will be the biggest obstacle and is hard to do all this within a year(aug2019). This is ahmed madoobe blaming the govt


Opposition News

Hiraab opposition are again having their khilaafaat but they agreed on one thing wich is to not get busy too much in dismantling this Gov!!!

Instead to contribute now on the future mechanisms like gudiyada doorashada so they can remove it from the political scene after 2 years and snatch the power from it.

You see i always said HG is not serious about Farmaajo!

They already get some positions now while still hanqaltaaging to the pm post

Anyways they let the former president Hassan sheikh to compaign from inside while they r not really united.

Shakuur even refuses to join "golaha hogaamiyaasha mucaaradka) who cant agree on one opposition and leader

Anyways this Govt faces now big challenges from two external camps; Djibouti is now involving in it and cant even wait after two years as she wants a pm like nuurcade wich means removing khayre first. That doesnt mean regime change like the case of yeey but an iririst PM who can stand of djiboutis side leading to electing a Hawiye president

Thats why farmaajo is visiting now djibouti though geele did not receive him in the airport like it was the visit before this one

The other camp is backed by the UAE but this time shakur is leading them instead of CC along with cabdi caynte

There is a man some circles of this Govt are calling to remove him now and is sharif sakiin bc he is a big asset for the UAE. He and this govt have cooperated against Jawaari but now they r not one and if he survives they will be in big trouble. South west elections will take place in november.

isjiidjiid dheer kadib i can say no Farmaajo(even if he finishes his firat term) niether Qoslaaye will be reelected it must be someone new but he will be relevant to these circumstances and events.

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Re: my pick of political destinations

Postby Flower5 » Fri Aug 17, 2018 3:26 pm

Where is Rahanweyn in all of this ?

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Re: my pick of political destinations

Postby AbdiWahab252 » Fri Aug 17, 2018 6:42 pm

Sahal

You forgot that Indhaqarshe’s mother is the cousin of the new Chief of Staff. The Abgaal commander was part of the VS red beret and a close ally of hers too. She doesn’t enjoy popular support among Sacadka but is not disliked.

As for reapproachment with Sacad, it’s still a way off. However if Farmaajo follows Dr Amina’s advice, he will be able to make good progress. After all the Hobyo trip was her idea. It helped boost his popularity along tolka.

But these developments are not good for me because I am backing a HG challenger and need majority Sacad support to fuel the campaign

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sahal80
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Re: my pick of political destinations

Postby sahal80 » Fri Aug 17, 2018 9:12 pm

Sahal

You forgot that Indhaqarshe’s mother is the cousin of the new Chief of Staff. The Abgaal commander was part of the VS red beret and a close ally of hers too. She doesn’t enjoy popular support among Sacadka but is not disliked.

As for reapproachment with Sacad, it’s still a way off. However if Farmaajo follows Dr Amina’s advice, he will be able to make good progress. After all the Hobyo trip was her idea. It helped boost his popularity along tolka.

But these developments are not good for me because I am backing a HG challenger and need majority Sacad support to fuel the campaign
thank you AW. Im not saying HG mucaaradnimo will stop but the new AGaasimaha will open window for a traditional Sacad HG influence and already Abdi qaybdiid is their dastuurka man. Opening a window for traditional sacad may restore back their influence in Galmudug against the islamist groups and the pro-Gaas xaaf.

It means also jumping on Khayre and already there is no more coordination between him and Farmaajo if one does some thing you see ghe other one doing like their meetings with dhaqanka iyo dhalinyarada.

I knew indhoqarshe was half sacad but didnt know he was a cousin of her.

I can say Farmaajo is trying to balance his HAG relations as Dblock specially PLers will likely to side with Ahmed Madoobe. I expect huge change in 2019 politics.

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Re: my pick of political destinations

Postby Django » Fri Aug 17, 2018 11:23 pm

So how will Failmajo capture Buale which is the heart of AS?mise he will wait for Marexan AS to take sides?

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Re: my pick of political destinations

Postby grandpakhalif » Sat Aug 18, 2018 3:48 am

sahal farmaajo has become HAG waterboy, i am against him now because he sacked Cali Canood to appease Hawiya and he sacked Kullane and made Fahad Yassin Deputy chief of NISA.

this govt is now officially HAG

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Re: my pick of political destinations

Postby Osob101 » Sat Aug 18, 2018 4:58 am

I was already anti farmaajo but the moment he messed with my people the Northern Abgaal is when my gloves have offciallt come off LOL

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Re: my pick of political destinations

Postby dalalos101 » Sat Aug 18, 2018 9:19 am

This administration is weak for the following reasons.

1. still sending money to PL, JL even though they are against the admin
2. giving too much power away to HAG
3. still has not captured Kismaayo from Madoobe the terrorist
4. Alshabab still not defeated

And now Farmaajo term is almost up he has not done anything significant to change the status quo, at least we didn't go backwards, but more could have been done, I am not really pro mucarad, but hope for new faces and fresh blood in the next admin. But even that is unlikely because JL is still held hostage by Madoobe.

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Re: my pick of political destinations

Postby Django » Sat Aug 18, 2018 10:03 am

Farmajo was the best igu sawir president in Africa.

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Re: my pick of political destinations

Postby Murax » Sat Aug 18, 2018 4:07 pm

I was already anti farmaajo but the moment he messed with my people the Northern Abgaal is when my gloves have offciallt come off LOL
Osob :rose:

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Re: my pick of political destinations

Postby AwRastaale » Sat Aug 18, 2018 6:14 pm

Sahal is back after months of hiding from Farmajo, Hiraab and AS camps.

I wonder which side he flipped over to now...

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Re: my pick of political destinations

Postby Khalid Ali » Sun Aug 19, 2018 2:20 am

:dj: :eat:
Those trolls who fked up my thread new taxaalufaad dont bring your wars here again

In that thread i talked about a new MX-sacad-HG and Co rapprochement so we have seen the new madaxtooyada agaasimaha and the deputy police being Sacad

their Co aka sheekhal who is the commander of the army

Only the abaanduulo who is abgaal was surprise to me since those two posts used to be allocated for different clans and if you know the reason you can explain why maybe a missed something like NISA(i
was working hard the past days)
https://www.idilnews.com/2018/08/16/mad ... y-akhriso/

The other stuff i talked about was ahmed madoobe. since then i heard a new planA on how they wanna remove him. This planA is to plant a pro govt officials in his security so he can be closer to losing his grip on power but the sheikh is resisting this infiltration as he sent back some with their planes and arrested others like taliyaha nabad sugida for JL. We talked about the planb wich is to hold the election in buaale after the SNA and ethiopian troops capture it. Abiy said during his visit to Mogadishu he will cooperate more with the Federal govt so all regions have some worry. Some have lost their tigray middle men aka gabroos others have lost their port interests this why this govt is backing the deal between ethiopia and eritrea bc the regions will be away from ethiopia as eritrea will replace them geopolitically and has also impacted badly on djibouti as well.

The only problem buaale has is lack of airport and institutions so this will be the biggest obstacle and is hard to do all this within a year(aug2019). This is ahmed madoobe blaming the govt


Opposition News

Hiraab opposition are again having their khilaafaat but they agreed on one thing wich is to not get busy too much in dismantling this Gov!!!

Instead to contribute now on the future mechanisms like gudiyada doorashada so they can remove it from the political scene after 2 years and snatch the power from it.

You see i always said HG is not serious about Farmaajo!

They already get some positions now while still hanqaltaaging to the pm post

Anyways they let the former president Hassan sheikh to compaign from inside while they r not really united.

Shakuur even refuses to join "golaha hogaamiyaasha mucaaradka) who cant agree on one opposition and leader

Anyways this Govt faces now big challenges from two external camps; Djibouti is now involving in it and cant even wait after two years as she wants a pm like nuurcade wich means removing khayre first. That doesnt mean regime change like the case of yeey but an iririst PM who can stand of djiboutis side leading to electing a Hawiye president

Thats why farmaajo is visiting now djibouti though geele did not receive him in the airport like it was the visit before this one

The other camp is backed by the UAE but this time shakur is leading them instead of CC along with cabdi caynte

There is a man some circles of this Govt are calling to remove him now and is sharif sakiin bc he is a big asset for the UAE. He and this govt have cooperated against Jawaari but now they r not one and if he survives they will be in big trouble. South west elections will take place in november.

isjiidjiid dheer kadib i can say no Farmaajo(even if he finishes his firat term) niether Qoslaaye will be reelected it must be someone new but he will be relevant to these circumstances and events.
:som:


Sayidi ustaad sahal good piece and good information about the poliics of the south sahal do you think the latest reshuffle done by failmaajo will have effect on the habargedir or should I say h iiraab relations with The murursade clan and also the ogadens are refusing officers send by failmaajo to operate in kismayo

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sahal80
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Re: my pick of political destinations

Postby sahal80 » Tue Aug 21, 2018 5:11 am

So how will Failmajo capture Buale which is the heart of AS?mise he will wait for Marexan AS to take sides?
From baardheere. Mx gen Caanood is leading guutada sadexaad( HG army in lower shabeele) as a back up or a wall for the coming jubada dhexe operation.

This has angered biimaal and scared sharif hassan bc HG has been in difaac position since Garguurte gone for lack of logistics and has even switched to al shabaab in the rural areas against biimaal who were becoming pro-Dawlad

HG benefits from any army project.

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sahal80
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Re: my pick of political destinations

Postby sahal80 » Tue Aug 21, 2018 5:30 am

:dj: :eat:
Those trolls who fked up my thread new taxaalufaad dont bring your wars here again

In that thread i talked about a new MX-sacad-HG and Co rapprochement so we have seen the new madaxtooyada agaasimaha and the deputy police being Sacad

their Co aka sheekhal who is the commander of the army

Only the abaanduulo who is abgaal was surprise to me since those two posts used to be allocated for different clans and if you know the reason you can explain why maybe a missed something like NISA(i
was working hard the past days)
https://www.idilnews.com/2018/08/16/mad ... y-akhriso/

The other stuff i talked about was ahmed madoobe. since then i heard a new planA on how they wanna remove him. This planA is to plant a pro govt officials in his security so he can be closer to losing his grip on power but the sheikh is resisting this infiltration as he sent back some with their planes and arrested others like taliyaha nabad sugida for JL. We talked about the planb wich is to hold the election in buaale after the SNA and ethiopian troops capture it. Abiy said during his visit to Mogadishu he will cooperate more with the Federal govt so all regions have some worry. Some have lost their tigray middle men aka gabroos others have lost their port interests this why this govt is backing the deal between ethiopia and eritrea bc the regions will be away from ethiopia as eritrea will replace them geopolitically and has also impacted badly on djibouti as well.

The only problem buaale has is lack of airport and institutions so this will be the biggest obstacle and is hard to do all this within a year(aug2019). This is ahmed madoobe blaming the govt


Opposition News

Hiraab opposition are again having their khilaafaat but they agreed on one thing wich is to not get busy too much in dismantling this Gov!!!

Instead to contribute now on the future mechanisms like gudiyada doorashada so they can remove it from the political scene after 2 years and snatch the power from it.

You see i always said HG is not serious about Farmaajo!

They already get some positions now while still hanqaltaaging to the pm post

Anyways they let the former president Hassan sheikh to compaign from inside while they r not really united.

Shakuur even refuses to join "golaha hogaamiyaasha mucaaradka) who cant agree on one opposition and leader

Anyways this Govt faces now big challenges from two external camps; Djibouti is now involving in it and cant even wait after two years as she wants a pm like nuurcade wich means removing khayre first. That doesnt mean regime change like the case of yeey but an iririst PM who can stand of djiboutis side leading to electing a Hawiye president

Thats why farmaajo is visiting now djibouti though geele did not receive him in the airport like it was the visit before this one

The other camp is backed by the UAE but this time shakur is leading them instead of CC along with cabdi caynte

There is a man some circles of this Govt are calling to remove him now and is sharif sakiin bc he is a big asset for the UAE. He and this govt have cooperated against Jawaari but now they r not one and if he survives they will be in big trouble. South west elections will take place in november.

isjiidjiid dheer kadib i can say no Farmaajo(even if he finishes his firat term) niether Qoslaaye will be reelected it must be someone new but he will be relevant to these circumstances and events.
:som:


Sayidi ustaad sahal good piece and good information about the poliics of the south sahal do you think the latest reshuffle done by failmaajo will have effect on the habargedir or should I say h iiraab relations with The murursade clan and also the ogadens are refusing officers send by failmaajo to operate in kismayo
shukran al ustad khalid. HAG agreed to leave Farmaajo finish his two years peacefully so there wont be any scenario like 2007, this ws a request from HG itself for many reasons like the hobyo port vs Garacad port where the former will be the official port of Mudug , still eying on the pm post, reviving HG-oriented SNA, iyo new agaasimaha madaxtoyada who is HG, new deputy police another HG(this post was for hawadle we gonna be mucaarad soon kkk)

Abasnduulaha is abgaal ally of HG just like conmander of the army who is loobagaha mudug with sacad mum

So looks farmaajo has blanced his HAG relations meantime keeping his seediyaal in the pm post
ALL THIS to bave the way for the mx return to Kismaayo in alliance with HAG as usual.

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Re: my pick of political destinations

Postby sahal80 » Tue Aug 21, 2018 5:36 am

I heard mx want to compromise on kismaayo as the next capital of somalia if they succeed in removing OG to buaale since Gedo and Jubada dhexe will be enough to form JL state

So we may have kismaayo vs Xamar or banaadir vs lower jubba in the constitution as who will be the capital.

This scenario will make the OG territory of lower jubba dhul Dawlad and will make mx majority in JL state.

Who knows if HG backs kismaayo being capital since Xamar as capital will threaten their houses

I mean its not something that Farmaajo or mx can decide like that in two years but Xamar will not have a HAG maqaam if it wants to be a capital while Kismayo will be ready for National Maqaam.
Last edited by sahal80 on Tue Aug 21, 2018 5:49 am, edited 1 time in total.


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