What will the KDF and Madoobe do if the sna clear a path in J Hoose and attempt to enter the holy city?
I think the kdf will stay on the outskirts and not get involved.....leaving the sna and Madoobe to fight it out.
To prevent such an all to possible scenario.....I think Madoobe should head off this crisis by making concessions to the Federal Govt.
However, Madoobe has probably already calculated that nothing less than ceding the holy city will satisfy Farmaajo.
Therefore it seems inevitable another war for Kismayo is looming.
The city has been fought over for almost 30 years.....it's a shadow of what it can be.
KDF are not neutral, they have their interest in Kismaayo that relates to their attempted annexation of our territorial waters, furthermore they never want to see Jubaland stable and prosperous because their have a decades long plan to develop Lamu and build a highway that goes into the interior, of course their plans are unrealistic and they will continue to get fuckedd by international cooperations.
SNA will have to purify the regions of adoons and shishkebab, Ogaden and MX are on the same page for the most part there is no deep enmity apart from reer kismaayo who feel they are under occupation, once that is resolved relations between the clans will be normalized and future Somali governments will have a strong support network in Jubaland unlike PL.
once Jubaland is secured there is real hope for Somalia, the south basically relies on two ports, Kismaayo and Mogadishu, if southerners manage to decide their own fate and move forward rest of Somalia will follow whether their despot leaders like it or not.
SNA today is more powerful and respectful in the eyes of the Somali people than it has ever been, corruption in the military has been stomped out ahead of its time, and it seems like the military is not waiting for crooked politicians but going ahead with their war against shishkebab.
People like General Canood are the future for the military, sad to see he was demoted which was a huge mistake but it will not stop him from doing what he has to do which is to root out shishkebab from Jubaland and end the illegal charcoal trade.
