BREAKING: Djiboutian opposition EXPOSES IOG's meddling in the new Maryoleey civil war!!

[ReturnOfMariixmaan]

29 July

Djibouti / Somaliland: PADD communiqué on the destabilization of Somaliland by Guelleh.


The Democratic Party of Djibouti, PADD, denounces the destabilization of Somaliland by Ismael Omar Guelleh and calls on the African Union and the countries of the Horn to condemn and open an investigation on the arming of a clan of Somaliland.

Since the presidential election in Somaliland on November 13, 2017, the security situation in Hargeisa has deteriorated rapidly. This election brought to the head of the country Muse Bihi Abdi, a Habar-awal / isaaq. His main rival, Abdirahman Abdullahi, a Habar-yonis / Isaaq, had seen the presidential election.

This dispute between these two politicians has aggravated relations between the two largest clans of the Isaaq ethnic group, the largest tribe in Somaliland. Somaliland's new president, Muse Bihi Abdi, has begun to target political, military and mercenary figures of the Habar-yonis / Isaaq clan.These members of this last clan have been removed from the army and the police.

This situation led to the secession, in September 2018, of the Somaliland army of a large number of men all composed of the Habar-yonis / Isaaq clan. These former soldiers led by Colonel Caarre set up a military camp in the far north of the Sanaag region and took the name of "Dulmi-diid rebellion".

Following long preparations, the Dulmi-diid rebellion led by Colonel Caarre began, since the end of June 2019, to carry out attacks against the installations of Somaliland soldiers in the north-east of the Sanaag region, in the direction of Maydh, coastal city, the city of Ceerigaabo.

Since 90% of this rebellion is composed of members of the Habar-yonis clan, an estimated Isaaq clan, and more and more other Isaaq clans are joining the Dulmi-diid rebellion, the president of the Somaliland has sectored the management and the strength of the army. More than 80 percent of the army and heavy weapons staff have become Muse Bihi Abdi's clan, Habar-Awal / Isaaq.

The situation of conflict gradually turns into a civil war between two clans of the Isaaq ethnic group, Habar -awal and Habar-yonis.

The position of Djibouti.

The President of the Republic of Djibouti, Ismael Omar Guelleh, married to a woman from the Habar-owal / Isaaq clan, has already taken a stand in the upcoming civil war in Somaliland.

On 23 July 2019, a delegation led by Somaliland Defense Minister Abdiqani Mahamuud Ateeye arrived in Djibouti. The young Somaliland Defense Minister is of the Issa ethnic group, the Mamasan clan, under Badarahan clan, and the Reer-Farah clan division as the chief of staff of the Djiboutian army - General Zakaria Sheikh Ibrahim. There was also in the aforementioned delegation:

1 - the consul of Somaliland in Djibouti: Abdifatah Said Ahmed, of the Habar-Awal / Isaaq clan;

2 - The 1st Lieutenant-General Brigadier: Abdirisaq Said Bulale (Afguduud), of the Samaron ethnic group;

3 - The Chief of the National Army: Major General Ahmed Ali Mohamed Chief Formation, Habar-Awal / Isaaq clan;

4 - The head of the medical corps of the national army: Dr. Ahmed-Shadi Abdillahi Mohamoud, clan Habar -awal / Isaaq;

5 - The chief of the artillery of the army: Yusuf Aden Nuur, of the clan Habar -awal / Isaaq.

[​IMG]
This delegation, almost composed of members of President Muse Bihi Abdi's clan, had made a two-day visit, during which the delegation held talks with the Djibouti army chief of staff - General Zakaria. Sheikh Ibrahim, the commander of the Republican Guard - Colonel Mohamed Djama Doualeh, the director of the National Police - Colonel Abdillahi Abdi and many other senior officials of the Djiboutian government. These mediated meetings with senior Djiboutian officials were a way of deceiving public opinion, but the hidden objective of the mission was to submit to President Ismail Omar Guelleh the message of the President of Somaliland, which was a request for weapons and medicine for Hargeisa.

The President of the Republic of Djibouti has given his approval for the delivery of arms and drugs to the Muse Bihi Abdi clan and since July 26, 2019, unmarked trucks are delivering small quantities of weapons and medicine to a barracks in the region. Gabiley and held by men of the Muse Bihi Abdi clan, Habar-awal / Isaaq.

This decision of the President of the Republic of Djibouti, Ismael Omar Guelleh, is in flagrant violation of the UN Security Council Resolution 1844 (2008) and precipitates Somaliland in a situation of interclanic civil war.

However, we call on the Union Africa, the countries of the Horn and the UN to condemn and open an investigation into the delivery of a weapon to a Somaliland clan without forgetting that Ismael Omar Guelleh is one more Al-shabab's big gun suppliers.

Done at Geneva on 28/07/2019

Hassan Cher Hared

President of the Democratic Party of Djibouti - PADD


http://www.hch24.com/actualites/07/2019 ... r-guelleh/

[ReturnOfMariixmaan]

Jeegaanta will delete this

[original dervish]

We've seen this scenario in a thousand conflicts all over the world.

I have no doubt sl will win this battle but will eventually lose the war marking the end of the nascent unitary iidoor state.

The sl armed forces are the preeminant fighting force in the north. They have the best equipment, resources and training. No tribal militia can overcome them in conventional warefare.

However, the rebels are using classic guerrilla tactics....using the remote and isolated Golis mountain range as a base of operations with the support of the local people.

The military advantage sl has in heavy armour is negated by the fact they have no way of deploying tanks, armoured vehicles and artillery to the Golis mountains.

Mountain passes and trails can easily be defended by a small determined force using heavy machine guns, land mines and snipers.

I expect the Bixi regime to use overwhelming force in the hope of quickly destroying the rebels.....this will cause immense casualties on the govt side, which may result in undisciplined soldiers killing local hy civilians....thus acting as a recruiting sergeant for the rebels.

If the fighting becomes increasingly bitter .....I you can expect to see hy gunman carrying out targeted attacks in Burco/Hargeisa.

The end result will be all out tribal war along the lines of the last great iidoor war 1995.

If Bixi has good advice he will not seek to retake the Golis mountains, but instead contain the rebels in a remote area where they can do very little harm.

Entreaties of elders, sheikhs and prominent businessmen could then be used to address the complaints of the rebels and reduce support for conflict.

However, the iidoor are Somali's just like the rest.....strategic thinking and making concessions are alien concepts.

The above article has already confirmed that Bixi is planning a far reaching offensive and expects major casualties.

When the dust settles in 2-3 of bitter fighting sl as a single iidoor polity will cease to exist. There will be two sl, east and west.

[Khalid Ali]

Two doofaars getting excited for nothing by the way caare does not represent hy he represent just him self and he will put on trial for mutiny

[mahoka]

We've seen this scenario in a thousand conflicts all over the world.

I have no doubt sl will win this battle but will eventually lose the war marking the end of the nascent unitary iidoor state.

The sl armed forces are the preeminant fighting force in the north. They have the best equipment, resources and training. No tribal militia can overcome them in conventional warefare.

However, the rebels are using classic guerrilla tactics....using the remote and isolated Golis mountain range as a base of operations with the support of the local people.

The military advantage sl has in heavy armour is negated by the fact they have no way of deploying tanks, armoured vehicles and artillery to the Golis mountains.

Mountain passes and trails can easily be defended by a small determined force using heavy machine guns, land mines and snipers.

I expect the Bixi regime to use overwhelming force in the hope of quickly destroying the rebels.....this will cause immense casualties on the govt side, which may result in undisciplined soldiers killing local hy civilians....thus acting as a recruiting sergeant for the rebels.

If the fighting becomes increasingly bitter .....I you can expect to see hy gunman carrying out targeted attacks in Burco/Hargeisa.

The end result will be all out tribal war along the lines of the last great iidoor war 1995.

If Bixi has good advice he will not seek to retake the Golis mountains, but instead contain the rebels in a remote area where they can do very little harm.

Entreaties of elders, sheikhs and prominent businessmen could then be used to address the complaints of the rebels and reduce support for conflict.

However, the iidoor are Somali's just like the rest.....strategic thinking and making concessions are alien concepts.

The above article has already confirmed that Bixi is planning a far reaching offensive and expects major casualties.

When the dust settles in 2-3 of bitter fighting sl as a single iidoor polity will cease to exist. There will be two sl, east and west.

One thing you are forgetting, if the Somaliland project fails and the isaaq clans go back to fighting each other, it’s game over for minority clans like dhulbahante, warsangeli and samaroon. This is because currently the isaaq are dedicated to the SL project and ictiraaf, that’s the glue keeping them together and the fact if they kill dooros in the east they will be seen as another Somali/South Sudan.

If a war was to break out tomorrow the only winners will be Hj, HA and HY to an extend as they will keep their position as the dominant 3 clans in the north.

[original dervish]

What will Bixi do.
Any suggestions to end this crisis.

[mahoka]

What will Bixi do.
Any suggestions to end this crisis.

Biixi is weak and has no option but to solve it like how precious leaders solved these issues. Hy is not qurjile or samaroon and they must be satisfied.


But you avoided my point, isaaq civil war is bad for minority tribes like yours

[theyuusuf143]

Somaliland is mainly depending on habar awal. The day you See Khalid Ali against somaliland is among the final days of somaliland. Ma habar awal mise reer somaliland inta kale . Habar awal waa ruuxda iyo nafta somaliland. Inta kale waa harag iyo qalfoof somaliland lagu qarxiyey, dux iyo dareere. Original dhilllo waa wejiga somaliland ,

Somaliland waa beautiful markay make up ka dhuloos marsan tahay. Laakiin make up ka kharash kiisa subeeriyada bixisa. Habar yonis waa cududa iyo xooga qaranka jamhuuriyada barakaysan , laakiin xoogu ma dhaqaaqo hadaan muuse biixi carbohydrate ka siin . Anagu (HJ) waxan nahay maskaxdii dalka laakiin wadannka uma fikiro karno hadaan hadaan habar awal jawaano qaada na hor dhigin. Ilaahaw habar awal noo barakee. Rabiga raxiimka ahaw khaalid Cali iyo tolkiiba cimriga u dheere oo u barakee. Waar aamin dhaha nacala shaydaan ku yaale aamin ta ila xejiya.

[Ben Dover]

Qurjiile OD beating off to the possibility of a civil war in Somaliland is just.. hilarious

Your midgaan clan did not fare so well last time Isaaq went wild. You lost your daddy Afweyne, and then were made to vacate all of Sanaag for fear of big Isaaq boogyman. The only clan in the Somali civil war to vacate an entire region lol. And ultimately came begging to Isaaq in Burco.

Somaliland is literally the best thing that happened to your kind. If Somaliland's army disintegrates into its constituent clans, and each clan's soldiers go back to their deegaan with their gear and technicals, guess who makes the vast majority of soldiers?

It is in your interest to be on all fours making ducaa in the middle of the night for the situation to cool off.

Your fanfic has precisely zero chance of materialising. Like every single time you midgaans start making your wishlists frothing at the mouth, I am willing to bet you this time next year Somaliland will be stronger than it is today

[ReturnOfMariixmaan]

HJ will be the first casualty of war.

[original dervish]

And brother Benny knows it to his very core.
Already the rebels have killed mumerous of his reer miyi clansmen......he thinks he can cover it up....but my people are grazing just a few miles from Ceelafweyne.

We care nothing about the rebels....its not our fight.
Traditionally it is the Dhulbahante whom have mediated between iidoor in Sanaag.

If sl collapses hj will be the biggests loses....because HA will consolidate power and wealth in the west....leaving hj all alone in the wild and ruthless east.

[Ben Dover]

Its a little sad one must say..

OD has completely accepted that her people's failiure on the "liberation" front. And is now spending her days hoping and wishing for Isaaq to liberate her people... from the tyranny of Isaaq serfdom

You know Somaliland will not collapse. You've wished this for 15 years straight, and to your dismay, SL only gets stronger, whilst your people get weaker and more divided.

But even IF it did, as insane as it sounds, we cant say for certain how HJ will fare, but looking at history, in times of chaos, your people were always HJ's biggest victims.

Qurjiile are completely without brains. If you thought you were living in horrible conditions under Ictiraaf-seeking, PR-sensitive Somaliland, then boy are you in for a rude awakening in seeking the collapse of SL... Isaaq may fight, but they will quickly take the peace, and you are pretty much guaranteed they will go wild on the qurjiile midgaans.

This time you will not just vacate Sanaag

[original dervish]

Try your fake bravado on someone else.
Your in the shit and you know it.....that's why your badmouthing us.

Like I said...this isn't our fight it's yours.
PS How will iidoors....let alone hj attack us after or during an iidoor civil war....your not making any sense Benny boy......viva the revolution.

[DaroorMan]

the only clan tearing each other apart is d-block in so-called jubaland, it seems they will use foreign personnel to fight themselves now just like they used to use foreigners to fight hawiye in 2006/2007

[Ben Dover]

OD, whats fake is your illogical wish for Somaliland to collapse after 15 years of utterly bleak cycle of Badbaado>SSC>Khaatumo>etc all failing and kneeling before your idoor masters

You are at a point where you gave up entirely on your own kin ending this Somaliland "occupation" of your land, so you are wishing for Isaaq to do it for you.

Let me reiterate, at any point in Somali history where the state collapsed, your qurjiile were the biggest losers. You are much weaker today than the 90s when Afweyne armed you to the teeth, and yet you vacated an entire region and came begging Isaaq for peace. If there is a war in the north, you are the single most vulnerable group.. utterly destitute.. utterly penniless, and utterly without friends. Isaaq on the other hand are in a state 1000x stronger than the 90s when they emerged from a bitter war they conducted against a state.

You lost every single time you stated that its over for Somaliland, and it wont be different this time.