The problem is there is no clear instructions of what will happen if mx forces capture buaale. Will farmaajo push for a ogadeen president as not to seem qabiliste or will he stand down and let those that he is asking to risk there lives (mx) rule jubbaland.
I think that is what is stopping mx from taking risks if there is no guarantee reward and that is why the likes of siyad adan are sticking with madoobe. Why replace madoobe by force then give the keys to another ogadeen.
We will see a lot of things in the next couple of months after galmudug issue is dealt with. But one thing is for sure there will be two jubbaland admins. Madoobe will control kismaayo and the other from dolow to jamaame.
Kenya is being weakened as we speak. The numerous attacks and their enormous debt that overleveraged them in JL. Kenya will fall, sooner than you think. The ethnic tensions are up in the predominantly Swahili Muslim coast of Lamu and Mombasa. They (Uhuru's Jubilee) are stuck the mid 10s of the TPLF Woyane era.