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independent candidates won't win in 2021

Daily chitchat on Somali politics.

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sahal80
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independent candidates won't win in 2021

Postby sahal80 » Mon Mar 23, 2020 5:00 pm

next elections will not be the same as 2012 and 2017 when unknown candidates and nonpartisan politician were winning the elections. this time who has the party with the most seats in parliament will win and
based on this scenario most sitting MPs/ministers r pro Kheyre and they r seeking re-election in the same seats this makes Xisbiga kheyre the biggest party. HAG wing has taken over N&N.

so who can be Kheyres main competitor? i have changed my mind on Dahir Geele and Andirahman seerin has already joined Sh sharif. Dahir Geele needs to work on his Xisbi and recruit mps like somalis are joining forex politicians are joining xisbo and investing in them. i don't think Geele fits in this new political situation so the closest is an Abgaal candidate from madasha and PL who is after the pm post they already suggested Juxa to Sh sharif. Sh sharif waa card gubtey laakin xisbi uu haystaa with the backing of PL and Hassan sheekh and Farah Abdulqadirs and Daljir group aka UPD Tanaazul though odowaa and abdikarim guuleed declared their candidacy and that hypocrite mahad salaad could join Kheyre

these will be the two main political parties in a nutshell.

im not saying shariif can win or kheyre can win just stating them leading the two biggest parties in the political arena.

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Re: independent candidates won't win in 2021

Postby AbdiWahab252 » Mon Mar 23, 2020 5:18 pm

Then there are the unknown unknowns a dark horse candidate who comes out of no where like HSM.

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Re: independent candidates won't win in 2021

Postby Samatalis249 » Mon Mar 23, 2020 5:18 pm

next elections will not be the same as 2012 and 2017 when unknown candidates and nonpartisan politician were winning the elections. this time who has the party with the most seats in parliament will win and
based on this scenario most sitting MPs/ministers r pro Kheyre and they r seeking re-election in the same seats this makes Xisbiga kheyre the biggest party. HAG wing has taken over N&N.

so who can be Kheyres main competitor? i have changed my mind on Dahir Geele and Andirahman seerin has already joined Sh sharif. Dahir Geele needs to work on his Xisbi and recruit mps like somalis are joining forex politicians are joining xisbo and investing in them. i don't think Geele fits in this new political situation so the closest is an Abgaal candidate from madasha and PL who is after the pm post they already suggested Juxa to Sh sharif. Sh sharif waa card gubtey laakin xisbi uu haystaa with the backing of PL and Hassan sheekh and Farah Abdulqadirs and Daljir group aka UPD Tanaazul though odowaa and abdikarim guuleed declared their candidacy and that hypocrite mahad salaad could join Kheyre

these will be the two main political parties in a nutshell.

im not saying shariif can win or kheyre can win just stating them leading the two biggest parties in the political arena.
Bro I dunno why you keep banging on about madasha and an abgaal President. Abgaal waxay jabeen when they took their position as president for granted and were competing against each other with no tanasul which lead to Farmajo being pres. They need to do the ground work to gain presidency now. Kheyre is in full control of hawiye that battle has already been won.

The Three Qowads are Kheyre who will run with Mahdi, Farmajo who has SW, and Deni who has JL and PL. Cumar Cabdirashid will run from the deni camp. Farmajo is in a war with majeerteen for control of Darood. Kheyre shaqadisa wuu ka so baxay.

The only thing abgaal can hope for is a PM from the majeerteen camp. Farmajo himself might do a coup on kheyre and bring a HG PM as a candidate. It’s fluid right now but there are only 3 Powers
Last edited by Samatalis249 on Mon Mar 23, 2020 5:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.

Samatalis249
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Re: independent candidates won't win in 2021

Postby Samatalis249 » Mon Mar 23, 2020 5:21 pm

If Abgaal don’t get PM or at the very least maqaamka muqdishu then maylow wey kugu so jeedsanayan

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Re: independent candidates won't win in 2021

Postby sahal80 » Mon Mar 23, 2020 5:23 pm

fuck your bro stop quoting me nacaladyahay saaqid ah

bitch get off my ceeb :arrow:

:sland: section is that way :arrow:

you shameless mother fucker. i spent my energy on this topic after i took a nap from work and here the troll is waiting for me fuck your nacaladii ku keentay

qaado meesha bich waa kaaga tagey kalab kaa tahay was

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Re: independent candidates won't win in 2021

Postby Samatalis249 » Mon Mar 23, 2020 5:31 pm

fuck your bro stop quoting me nacaladyahay saaqid ah

bitch get off my ceeb :arrow:

:sland: section is that way :arrow:

you shameless mother fucker. i spent my energy on this topic after i took a nap from work and here the troll is waiting for me fuck your nacaladii ku keentay

qaado meesha bich waa kaaga tagey kalab kaa tahay was
Somalia Somali ba leh :som:

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Re: independent candidates won't win in 2021

Postby paperino » Mon Mar 23, 2020 5:39 pm

Samatalis249, it's obvious you're sahal's previous stalker. Why don't you leave him alone?

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sahal80
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Re: independent candidates won't win in 2021

Postby sahal80 » Mon Mar 23, 2020 6:12 pm

this guy is either troll released by xoogaga on me or he is stray wadani supporter who is here to appease xoogaga bc they gave up on SL. he claims to be Habar awal but he is pretending. proad SLer will not appease to xoogaga. he is always appeasing to them
im gonna take break from his virus

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Re: independent candidates won't win in 2021

Postby Samatalis249 » Mon Mar 23, 2020 6:40 pm

this guy is either troll released by xoogaga on me or he is stray wadani supporter who is here to appease xoogaga bc they gave up on SL. he claims to be Habar awal but he is pretending. proad SLer will not appease to xoogaga. he is always appeasing to them
im gonna take break from his virus
I don’t appease anyone, infact I probably insult marexaan the most out of everyone. Markad falanqeynaysid siyasada waa inay reality ku salaysantahay.

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Re: independent candidates won't win in 2021

Postby Somaliweeyn007 » Mon Mar 23, 2020 8:31 pm

this guy is either troll released by xoogaga on me or he is stray wadani supporter who is here to appease xoogaga bc they gave up on SL. he claims to be Habar awal but he is pretending. proad SLer will not appease to xoogaga. he is always appeasing to them
im gonna take break from his virus
I don’t appease anyone, infact I probably insult marexaan the most out of everyone. Markad falanqeynaysid siyasada waa inay reality ku salaysantahay.
I don't get why Sahal is mad at you, didn't see anything off you posted than usual political posts everyone else does

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Re: independent candidates won't win in 2021

Postby theyuusuf143 » Mon Mar 23, 2020 8:52 pm

It depends on the voters. Who are the voters and where they are based ? Once you identify who are the peaple who is voting the parties and the destinations allocated for them. Then you can easily figure out the potential winners and loosers. If the voting is happening every district in puntland and benaadir . Then you know both khayre and farmaajo led parties have no chance.

The MJs and hutus will only vote for the parties led by their own leaders. In every sense this election will cause more instability and irregularities. The 4.5 is the best system somalis ever had . I don't understand who suggested this one man one vote bulshit. Direct Elections are the mother of qabyaalad because somalis don't accept defeat. Somaliland is a good example of how American style democracy causes conflicts between rival Clans. Democracy means winner takes all there is no room for equality. Women and minorities are the real loosers in this kind of system.

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Re: independent candidates won't win in 2021

Postby Murax » Mon Mar 23, 2020 9:43 pm

fuck your bro stop quoting me nacaladyahay saaqid ah

bitch get off my ceeb :arrow:

:sland: section is that way :arrow:

you shameless mother fucker. i spent my energy on this topic after i took a nap from work and here the troll is waiting for me fuck your nacaladii ku keentay

qaado meesha bich waa kaaga tagey kalab kaa tahay was


Sahal the problem is you. You make threads on a public forum posting thoughts that are completely your own not verifiable facts. The second somebody dares disagree with you, you go crazy and attack them. Are you being insecure? Second thing about your debate style you bring common random information and post your own spin on what you think it means which is always 100% of the time going to be something negative for N&N. If its a cloudy day in Somalia you’ll say? ‘Oh look you say HAG waxay dhaheen Farmaajo maalmon madow baad noo keenaysa’. I can bring you every single article concerning Somalia today and you will tell me why it spells doom for N&N.


As for your overall argument ninyaho you need to just be patient and let your argument come to fruition and you have to build credibility. Many things, actually all the predictions you made did not happen. Many of us who were Anti Culusow like myself just left it alone until he was gone.

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Re: independent candidates won't win in 2021

Postby Somaliweeyn007 » Tue Mar 24, 2020 12:37 am

fuck your bro stop quoting me nacaladyahay saaqid ah

bitch get off my ceeb :arrow:

:sland: section is that way :arrow:

you shameless mother fucker. i spent my energy on this topic after i took a nap from work and here the troll is waiting for me fuck your nacaladii ku keentay

qaado meesha bich waa kaaga tagey kalab kaa tahay was


Sahal the problem is you. You make threads on a public forum posting thoughts that are completely your own not verifiable facts. The second somebody dares disagree with you, you go crazy and attack them. Are you being insecure? Second thing about your debate style you bring common random information and post your own spin on what you think it means which is always 100% of the time going to be something negative for N&N. If its a cloudy day in Somalia you’ll say? ‘Oh look you say HAG waxay dhaheen Farmaajo maalmon madow baad noo keenaysa’. I can bring you every single article concerning Somalia today and you will tell me why it spells doom for N&N.


As for your overall argument ninyaho you need to just be patient and let your argument come to fruition and you have to build credibility. Many things, actually all the predictions you made did not happen. Many of us who were Anti Culusow like myself just left it alone until he was gone.
Strangely enough Samatalis249 user seems to trigger him the most for some reason.

Sahal whats your reasoning behind this?

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Re: independent candidates won't win in 2021

Postby sahal80 » Tue Mar 24, 2020 3:05 am

fuck your bro stop quoting me nacaladyahay saaqid ah

bitch get off my ceeb :arrow:

:sland: section is that way :arrow:

you shameless mother fucker. i spent my energy on this topic after i took a nap from work and here the troll is waiting for me fuck your nacaladii ku keentay

qaado meesha bich waa kaaga tagey kalab kaa tahay was


Sahal the problem is you. You make threads on a public forum posting thoughts that are completely your own not verifiable facts. The second somebody dares disagree with you, you go crazy and attack them. Are you being insecure? Second thing about your debate style you bring common random information and post your own spin on what you think it means which is always 100% of the time going to be something negative for N&N. If its a cloudy day in Somalia you’ll say? ‘Oh look you say HAG waxay dhaheen Farmaajo maalmon madow baad noo keenaysa’. I can bring you every single article concerning Somalia today and you will tell me why it spells doom for N&N.


As for your overall argument ninyaho you need to just be patient and let your argument come to fruition and you have to build credibility. Many things, actually all the predictions you made did not happen. Many of us who were Anti Culusow like myself just left it alone until he was gone.
Strangely enough Samatalis249 user seems to trigger him the most for some reason.

Sahal whats your reasoning behind this?
i saw you before describing my predictions rubbish so i don't know how sincere you question is you and murax are probably settling old scores and this is why i say this guy is appeasing you. however i will answer to your quesion. im the biggest freedom believer i respect the other opinion الرئ الاخر im not qabiilist or racist any Somali can post in my threads im not against the dirty waqooyi and those who r pro dir i had always one of them in my threads(yuusuf non dirty waqooyi lander who sees himself as a dir to have influence in ethiopia and koonfur)and i let him free bc he posts what he believes and stays on the topic. on the other hand, All this Samatalis troll does falls under the category of stalking and harassment and trolling he sounds very high, saaqid(have no life) or the best pro wadani cuqdadlow ah oo kaga dhamaatey SL laakin that why he is appeasing to Xoogaga. at other times he is coming at us like we r his savior and protector wich shows how high he is(contradicting himself) his calaacal hawiye posts reflect his yearing for protection. hawiye aa sidaan ah, siyaad barre aa bla bla....its all awrku kacsi discourse. i dont wanna see all this negotivity in my threads he is free to post in his own i never posted in his own and he is the first to post he shit in mine addressing to me not the topic look this " i dunno why you keep banging on about madasha and an abgaal President. Abgaal waxay jabeen when they took their position as president for granted and were competing against each other with no tanasul which lead to Farmajo being pres"

he suggests to me non existing deputy pm mahdi shit in koonfur politics and CCC becoming president he claims im angery at him bc of ccc where did i ever commented on his ccc stuff? ccc wuxuu la mid yahay nin leh ilaahow hebel wax sii ha isii yee! i dont care but he puts his ur on my nose? why he is forcing me when he is a lander who got other issues? im not interested in debating with him to start with. im not saaqid to debate with a lander i have no time for him just stop quoting me i wont even look at his post

these titles r my threads and the posts belong to him
": Farmaajo cancels visit to Baraawe

PostTue Mar 10, 2020 10:25 am

Kheyre and Farmajo are 2 peas in a pod. Waxa laga arkaya inay hawiye jabeen inay kheyre ka daba gabanayaan. Why are you against Farmajo if not for qabil reasons if you’re pro kheyre. It would be like me supporting the bald headed mahdi.

: Worst British war crimes against Koonfur

PostSat Mar 14, 2020 5:43 pm

Nin raga uun baa daqikara gabad majeerteen. They will not tolerate you if you’re below there level kkkkk 

: SAHALists woke up on the news of Kheyre Candidacy

PostThu Mar 12, 2020 11:10 pm

Qoloyinkina hawiye malaha waxad ku ficaantihin ina lagu uleyo. 3 years buu ninkan marexaan ideen gumeyey. Ayeeyadeen cashuurta ka gurey oo uu diibay dad baraha bulshada ka caaya. 30 sano waa marki ugu horyeeyay uu kula soo hor istaagay.

Waxan waa ruwayad. If kheyre was to become President Farmajo would be PM. And the uleyn would continue from there."
tribal maneuvering arranged by Farmaajo and Kheyre
PostSun Mar 22, 2020 10:16 am

This is how hawiye let siad barre consolidate power in and around Mogadishu. He destroyed the rest of the army with the 77 war then started army’s tribal special units. Farmajo should be shot dead"

i tried to reason with him in this thread but is high xayawaan one i lost more energy on him!
https://www.somalinet.com/forums/viewto ... 6#p4974365

Samatalis249
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Re: independent candidates won't win in 2021

Postby Samatalis249 » Tue Mar 24, 2020 4:48 am





Sahal the problem is you. You make threads on a public forum posting thoughts that are completely your own not verifiable facts. The second somebody dares disagree with you, you go crazy and attack them. Are you being insecure? Second thing about your debate style you bring common random information and post your own spin on what you think it means which is always 100% of the time going to be something negative for N&N. If its a cloudy day in Somalia you’ll say? ‘Oh look you say HAG waxay dhaheen Farmaajo maalmon madow baad noo keenaysa’. I can bring you every single article concerning Somalia today and you will tell me why it spells doom for N&N.


As for your overall argument ninyaho you need to just be patient and let your argument come to fruition and you have to build credibility. Many things, actually all the predictions you made did not happen. Many of us who were Anti Culusow like myself just left it alone until he was gone.
Strangely enough Samatalis249 user seems to trigger him the most for some reason.

Sahal whats your reasoning behind this?
i saw you before describing my predictions rubbish so i don't know how sincere you question is you and murax are probably settling old scores and this is why i say this guy is appeasing you. however i will answer to your quesion. im the biggest freedom believer i respect the other opinion الرئ الاخر im not qabiilist or racist any Somali can post in my threads im not against the dirty waqooyi and those who r pro dir i had always one of them in my threads(yuusuf non dirty waqooyi lander who sees himself as a dir to have influence in ethiopia and koonfur)and i let him free bc he posts what he believes and stays on the topic. on the other hand, All this Samatalis troll does falls under the category of stalking and harassment and trolling he sounds very high, saaqid(have no life) or the best pro wadani cuqdadlow ah oo kaga dhamaatey SL laakin that why he is appeasing to Xoogaga. at other times he is coming at us like we r his savior and protector wich shows how high he is(contradicting himself) his calaacal hawiye posts reflect his yearing for protection. hawiye aa sidaan ah, siyaad barre aa bla bla....its all awrku kacsi discourse. i dont wanna see all this negotivity in my threads he is free to post in his own i never posted in his own and he is the first to post he shit in mine addressing to me not the topic look this " i dunno why you keep banging on about madasha and an abgaal President. Abgaal waxay jabeen when they took their position as president for granted and were competing against each other with no tanasul which lead to Farmajo being pres"

he suggests to me non existing deputy pm mahdi shit in koonfur politics and CCC becoming president he claims im angery at him bc of ccc where did i ever commented on his ccc stuff? ccc wuxuu la mid yahay nin leh ilaahow hebel wax sii ha isii yee! i dont care but he puts his ur on my nose? why he is forcing me when he is a lander who got other issues? im not interested in debating with him to start with. im not saaqid to debate with a lander i have no time for him just stop quoting me i wont even look at his post

these titles r my threads and the posts belong to him
": Farmaajo cancels visit to Baraawe

PostTue Mar 10, 2020 10:25 am

Kheyre and Farmajo are 2 peas in a pod. Waxa laga arkaya inay hawiye jabeen inay kheyre ka daba gabanayaan. Why are you against Farmajo if not for qabil reasons if you’re pro kheyre. It would be like me supporting the bald headed mahdi.

: Worst British war crimes against Koonfur

PostSat Mar 14, 2020 5:43 pm

Nin raga uun baa daqikara gabad majeerteen. They will not tolerate you if you’re below there level kkkkk 

: SAHALists woke up on the news of Kheyre Candidacy

PostThu Mar 12, 2020 11:10 pm

Qoloyinkina hawiye malaha waxad ku ficaantihin ina lagu uleyo. 3 years buu ninkan marexaan ideen gumeyey. Ayeeyadeen cashuurta ka gurey oo uu diibay dad baraha bulshada ka caaya. 30 sano waa marki ugu horyeeyay uu kula soo hor istaagay.

Waxan waa ruwayad. If kheyre was to become President Farmajo would be PM. And the uleyn would continue from there."
tribal maneuvering arranged by Farmaajo and Kheyre
PostSun Mar 22, 2020 10:16 am

This is how hawiye let siad barre consolidate power in and around Mogadishu. He destroyed the rest of the army with the 77 war then started army’s tribal special units. Farmajo should be shot dead"

i tried to reason with him in this thread but is high xayawaan one i lost more energy on him!
https://www.somalinet.com/forums/viewto ... 6#p4974365
Kkkk you’re angry when anyone mentions the possibility of any president other than an abgaal one and how i explained its virtually impossible that there will be an abgaal President so now hirshabelle might be at threat.

It is always important to make sure hawiye don’t become a raaciyad as that is very dangerous no amount of saviour or protector will make a difference.

On the other hand I’m probably the most anti waddani person and have bashed garxajis countless times with my other accounts that got blocked. The reality is though the DPM won the battle in the north and is basically the defacto leader of the next SL xukumad.

On the other hand Cumar Cabdirashid has the full support of 2 Fed states and it’s not like before now puntland and jubaland are facing existential threats and are united internally within themselves (as in the people that will be picking the mps) why do you think majeerteen that have more weight than abgaal going into this election will vote for an abgaal and take PM? They are going for the prize bro.


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