Sahal, political prediction thread

[Righteous]

Ustaad Sahal,

ASC bro, Ramadan Kareem.

I have a few questions for you?

-I have a suspicion that Khayre wants to hijack the opposition movement and become their leader and then continue with N&N tactics.

-Moreover Khayre is a bonafide Hagist so why would he give PL & JL special status?

-If this is not true and the opposition has their own leader, is it guaranteed that they will give PL & JL special status?

[sahal80]

thank you bro

Wallahi judging by the last developments i dont think Kheyre has a chance he is lucky if he survives until Farmaajo leaves when his time comes to an end. Now Kheyre has no other option except to refuse any sort of extension to stay in the remaining 9 months because Farmaajo is working on a scenario like that of 2011 whe Gaas replaced him as the Prime Minister and Sheikh Sharif was given a one-year extension. Farmaajo wants now two year extension in exchange with new pm from the opposition because he is desperate .like they say there is no permanent friends in politics. so he suggested on Kheyre to make a cabinet reshuffle and give 50% of the cabinet to the opposition bc he intends behind this policy to weaken Kheyre who now enjoys full control of the Cabinet and Banaadir security and to prepare one of them taking over from him like gaas did to him in campala accord but this time it will be called ankara accord or addis accord. kheyre known well his true motivations he told him "im not gonna change shit this cabinet will stay with me in these remaining months" and then he started supporting the no term extension along with the FMS and Madasha mucaaradka so there will be a U.N. resolution in tgis month that prohibts from the government extending its term of office. initially Kheyre was only supporting to extend for only the parliament bc he has 70 mps in his cabinet and that is enought to put him in the second round if the current parliament votes but since he was asked to change the cabinet he said let not mine enemies triumph over me.

[ReerGarowe]

No special status, all regional states should have maximum autonomy and Somalia becomes a de facto confederation. Somalia should copy the UAE's executive branch and have a Supreme Council consisting of all presidents of the regional states.

President of Banadir is always the President of Somalia
President of Puntland is always the Prime Minister of Somalia

[Righteous]

thank you bro

Wallahi judging by the last developments i dont think Kheyre has a chance he is lucky if he survives until Farmaajo leaves when his time comes to an end. Now Kheyre has no other option except to refuse any sort of extension to stay in the remaining 9 months because Farmaajo is working on a scenario like that of 2011 whe Gaas replaced him as the Prime Minister and Sheikh Sharif was given a one-year extension. Farmaajo wants now two year extension in exchange with new pm from the opposition because he is desperate .like they say there is no permanent friends in politics. so he suggested on Kheyre to make a cabinet reshuffle and give 50% of the cabinet to the opposition bc he intends behind this policy to weaken Kheyre who now enjoys full control of the Cabinet and Banaadir security and to prepare one of them taking over from him like gaas did to him in campala accord but this time it will be called ankara accord or addis accord. kheyre known well his true motivations he told him "im not gonna change shit this cabinet will stay with me in these remaining months" and then he started supporting the no term extension along with the FMS and Madasha mucaaradka so there will be a U.N. resolution in tgis month that prohibts from the government extending its term of office. initially Kheyre was only supporting to extend for only the parliament bc he has 70 mps in his cabinet and that is enought to put him in the second round if the current parliament votes but since he was asked to change the cabinet he said let not mine enemies triumph over me.

Thanks bro! This is insane, so now we have Farmaajo & Khayre aiming guns at each other waiting to take the other out.
So just so I understand clearly.

Khayre & Farmaajo are both competing for an alliance with the opposition? Khayre is offering a chance for a new election whereas Farmajo is offering a 2 year PM position.



I think the opposition will go for Khayre's idea.

[Righteous]

No special status, all regional states should have maximum autonomy and Somalia becomes a de facto confederation. Somalia should copy the UAE's executive branch and have a Supreme Council consisting of all presidents of the regional states.

President of Banadir is always the President of Somalia
President of Puntland is always the Prime Minister of Somalia

That sort of scenario is on the horizon certainly since most Somalis are starting to realise that we need a fair system to move forward.

[ReerGarowe]

^ Exactly Righteous. If you go to social media and other rival forums, you'll see more and more Puntites pushing for a quasi confederal system to hold Somalia together

[Murax]

Mudane Kheyre isn’t going anywhere. Him and Farmaajo will never split, and be isn’t going to the circuit opposition. You guys want them gone so bad? ف الصبرٌ جميل

You will just have to wait

[sahal80]

Warqaad posted today many of my talking points; 1-Kheyre rejection of forming xisbi with Farmaajo, 2-Kheyre rejection of making cabinet reshuffle(not saying the reason why i said its to pave the way for mucaarad pm so he asked him to give 50% of the cabinet to the opposition)
Ethiopia backing farmaajo extension(with mucaarad pm) And kheyre becoming against it(i said he joined FMS and mucaaradka today sh sharif reitarated it with safiirka uk) what else? watch this video we r still in early may in june waa lakala tagaa howsha waxaa la wareegaysa beesha caalamka waxaa isky mawqif noqondoona Kheyre, FMS iyo mucaaradka. enjoy the show!