If there is no Agreement in Afisyoone, There r 3 alternative agendas
1-James swan and beesha caalamka taking over completely and sancioning the spoiler Mooge since he he tries to sabotage the shir evrry time in order to go ahead with his ismiidaamin
they can bypass him and deal directly with his laheloows and Amisom finally force some caretaker option+amisom security that eliminates any Mooge influence in all the FMS
2- Mooges and Laheloows came to thwart the conference so that they could control the elections by returning to the model of rigged direct elections and obtain a governmental and parliamentary extension. This suicide mission will not be recognized by beesha caalamka.
3-PL and JL who do not recognize Mooge and the reason why we do not see the photos of the attendees in the conference room is to cover up that no one is chairing these sessions. Their biggest demand is Mooge to sign the letter of abdication and to hand power over to his Lahelow Rooble as a caretaker pm and this means that the security and the army will be under his command. Rooble will be able to expel Fahd Yassin the most powerful man in security and win the loyalty of the army and police leadership and with this Mooge will be finished on his own but this Lahelow does not have such confidence when he has this one opportunity of a lifetime but i believe laheloow as caretaker will be forced by beesha caalamka or there will be a deal with mursal to extend only for the parliament and the speaker and elect president stright away
If this does not happen, their alternative option is to return to their homes and boycott the federal government altogether and reject any conference inside Somalia and support the internationalization of the Somali issue and here we will see countries like Djibouti hosting a conference of the Somali parties including Laheloows and Gareens and mursal. This is what happened to Abdi Qasim when all the warlords in his government abandoned him and participated in the conference of Empegati after his last prime minister defected from him and was the first to join it (he was mj hassan abshir he had befor galayd who was dhulos and abdi yuusuf who was awrtable)
then a political agreement will be reached somewhere maybe in Djibouti and will be adopted by the the UN Security Council, IGAD, Arab countries and even AU because Ethiopia is in a deplorable state.
in any case Mooge has no chances as it easy for beesha caalamka to deconstruct his camp.
Dagaalka beesha caalamka iyo Mooge is loading!.
