Deni is a candidate

[Nomand]

maths says that the only two people left in round 3 will be deni and farmaajo

there are 54 seats in aqalka sare

and 275 seats in aqalka hoose

total = 329

farmaajo will get somaliland + gedo + mx in galmudug + koonfur galbeed + banaadir = total 152 seats

deni will get jubbaland + puntland = 83

None of the MM will make it past round 2. kkkk

[sahal80]

Deni already got the Dblock upper house votes around 15 and this is a huge blow to Mooge. aqalka hoose i think he will have up to 50 votes so can you imagine where Deni votes will go and this will enhance their chances more with the votes of their regions. The southwest and the north will benefit you when you already have the votes of your own regions and Mooge has no his own Dblock votes and now yatakabaru stayed away from him and he is approaching the MM.

After Rooble returns from Cairo which he intends to visit on Monday he will host Golaha wadatashiga qaran conference and may adopt Madobe's position that the polls should be held in one city then there will be 16 fartaag.


im saying IF ROOBLE adopts that position i mayself want it take place in Baladweyne but Guudlaawe says to my beesha you have to recognize me first and let me in Baladweyne and they r saying not before going back to the 2016 heshiis and the powersharing(presidency vs capital) and he says after the elections will do this otherwise im gonna hold the elections in Jowhar so shirka uu u wataa arintan "baladweyne kuma qaban karo doorasho"

but beesha sources are saying Rooble will visit Baladweyne when he come back from Nairobi to sortout the issue and attend caleemo saarka ugaaska and all i know he is heading to Cairo

After ending his relationship with Mooge, Rooble will receive support from the FMS in this shir as the head of the caretaker executive branch and Mooge advisors and supporters told him not to talk about him publicly again or he would ally with Madoobe and Deni so he is in big trouble.

[Nomand]

Sahal,

the puntland + jubbaland votes does not harm farmaajo, he was never going to get them. the people that thought where going to get them are MM.

here is Gelle/ MM crying about deni and qoor qoor stealing senators seats and saying the same should not be done in parliament. it has just dawned on MM that they have 0 from senate and will get 0 from lower house also.



BTW Rooble cannot change anything from the 17th September agreement.

[BigBreak]

If Deni became Somalia's president would he be able to bring Puntland enclave under the direct control of the FGS even if the new governor of PL is another Mahamud Saleban person?

If PL remains fully autonomous even if the President of Somalia is MJ then there's no point of Deni being elected to the national presidency

[Rebelxx22]

Nomand what votes is Farmaajo counting on and which votes can he actually receive. Saying he’s receiving Banadir votes without reasoning how is delusional. The Zuug in Karaan & Shibis is ready to roll down into Wardhiigley. Farmaajo has a better chance in stealing Baydhabo which at this point is an Ethiopian colony while neighboring Ethiopia is edging towards a failed state status!

[MrSinister]

Whether Deni runs or not, he has consolidated his power and has a strong base to work from. This election will be different as there will be less power for individual MPs, and the power is with those who control a FMS. The only wild card is the Somaliland representatives and where there loyalties will lie. They will likely be free agents

If Deni became Somalia's president would he be able to bring Puntland enclave under the direct control of the FGS even if the new governor of PL is another Mahamud Saleban person?

If PL remains fully autonomous even if the President of Somalia is MJ then there's no point of Deni being elected to the national presidency

Deni as PM or President would bring the separatists back to the fold. FMS somaliland will take its rightful place as part of the Federal Republic of Somalia

[Nomand]

this is Abdikariim hussien guleed that sahal said qoor qoor is backing. here he is today on facebook crying about the selections that happened in galmudug. it dawned on all of them that they have 0 senators and will get 0 MPS. every single Member of MM today is crying all over the media.

abdikariim said everything needs to be reset and redone. kkkk yesterday you where happy when madoobe stole jubbaland but today you complain about qoor qoor?

[Nomand]

Nomand what votes is Farmaajo counting on and which votes can he actually receive. Saying he’s receiving Banadir votes without reasoning how is delusional. The Zuug in Karaan & Shibis is ready to roll down into Wardhiigley. Farmaajo has a better chance in stealing Baydhabo which at this point is an Ethiopian colony while neighboring Ethiopia is edging towards a failed state status!

banaadir seats = cadcads they prefer farmaajo over hawiye. farmaajo just needs to make it round 3 then it will be him vs deni.

farmaajo wins.

[grandpakhalif]

Deni played them good wallahi They received nothing and supported him for everything

[Rebelxx22]

In the post before he was congratulating the senators from Galmudug. He’s playing mind tricks with us if he can change moods within 3 hours on social media

[Rebelxx22]

Nomand what votes is Farmaajo counting on and which votes can he actually receive. Saying he’s receiving Banadir votes without reasoning how is delusional. The Zuug in Karaan & Shibis is ready to roll down into Wardhiigley. Farmaajo has a better chance in stealing Baydhabo which at this point is an Ethiopian colony while neighboring Ethiopia is edging towards a failed state status!

banaadir seats = cadcads they prefer farmaajo over hawiye. farmaajo just needs to make it round 3 then it will be him vs deni.

farmaajo wins.

How many seats do CadCads have? I don’t keep track of minorities but as elections is nearing I’m curious

[Nomand]

In the post before he was congratulating the senators from Galmudug. He’s playing mind tricks with us if he can change moods within 3 hours on social media

abdikariim is very dumb, Gelle explained to him what's going on and the situation on the ground.

[WadaniggaBarakaysan]

Harti Kombe has 27 total seats while Isaaq has 26 total seats. No wonder Isaaq wants to secede from the rest of Somalis. Why be in a country where you are a minority when you can create a country where you become a majority?

[MrSinister]

Harti Kombe has 27 total seats while Isaaq has 26 total seats. No wonder Isaaq wants to secede from the rest of Somalis. Why be in a country where you are a minority when you can create a country where you become a majority?

Harti is about the same size as Isaaq. Why should they be given extra votes. They should leave the separatism nonsense and make alliances with other clans. They also have the deputy prime minister position and can be kingmakers in Somalia.

[BigBreak]

Isaaq is more populous than Darod across the defunct Somali Republic but a deluded dhabyaco/faqash would say otherwise

Darod would be third class subjects if reunification ever took place (don't worry we'll remain independent so you can sleep easy )