Gubbet wrote: Mon Jul 17, 2023 12:07 pm
I am of the opinion, considering the vast disproportionality between population assumptions and the reality, that Caabudwaaq should now
impose a "re-understanding about the equities involved.
Namely, now adopt the position that the Galmudug " Presidency" should be forced open for competition including even probably adopt the position that a new power sharing agreement is needed.
Remember Galmudug is not " Jubbaland." Marehan wants to control and take Kismaayo, wants to control Jubbaland. Galmudug is the inverse. Nobody really wants it and Marehan is perfectly fine having nothing to do with anything east of them just like from 1991-2015.
Marehan grazes west towards Ethiopia, its wells and equity is west towards Ethiopia, it's livestock trade is west towards Ethiopia and north towards Puntland/SSC, and it even sources produce supply chain from west in Ethiopia.
Galmudug is a dry, empty desert devoid of people. It's basic relevance as a " Federal State" is based on a technicality since it just takes up space.
All of this is strictly speaking from Caabudwaaq point of view regarding" why" they should now force or rather even " impose" a re-understanding about the equity involved.
Remember, MX the clan did not actually join Galmudug. The Sufi momentary maamul did and Marehan the clan did not find it a " harm" or even "relevant" to overrule their Sufi sons.
Also the weirdly historical and niche "Kumbaya " that briefly existed through the Sufi alliance making to fight Shabaab moving past Ceel-Buur was a counter-productive hypnosis as the majority of MX has thought in hindisight
I have believed for sometime that Galmudug would not outlive HSM II presidency, because of reasons I will not name* and thought MX will parachute out as effortlessly as it halfheartedly parachuted in, but now I think MX should impose a hegemonc claim equal to the east of the highway on its own merits for the record before this attempt at admin disintegrates.
*For a very basic hint, just think why "Galgaduud" and "Mudug" have the two least powerful offices of "Governor." Since the day such regional offices were formed, the "Governor" of Galgaduud/Mudug has been literally irrelevant. The attempt at "Galmudug" with President and centralized authority will be viewed from the future as a waste of time.