Postby hanqadh » Sat Feb 05, 2011 12:46 am
1-Ethiopia is fearful and paranoid about the rise in strength of ONLF to the extent its shaken the core of the TPLF threatning the "security and survival" of there ethno-fascist regime.
2-There Counter-Insurgency was a complete failure, further gives evidence that the people are with ONLF as the TPLF indiscrimanetly attacked the population as a whole and continue to do so.
3-The U.S and the International Community see only a negotiated settlement as an end to the conflict something Ethiopia is not keen on as that would give recognition to ONLF as a power in the region.
4-Ethiopia is frustrated at the U.S relationship with the ONLF, the USA has had meetings with ONLF delegates and U.S Civil Affairs teams visiting the Ogaden were treated well by ONLF.The vast Oil and Gas reserves in the Ogaden could be a motivating factor for the U.S fuelling there largely nuetral stance, any further exacerbation of the conflict could see the U.S exert more pressure on Ethiopia to negotiate as they already mentioned in this cable "political dialogue with the ONLF could be key to resolving problems".
5- Ethiopia has failed to convince the U.S or any other country for that matter that ONLF is a terrorist organisation or has links to Islamist forces in Somalia.
6-This cable further proves ONLF and the situation in Ogadenia are no longer in the dark, the successful campaign by ONLF and the wide coverage of Ethiopia's brutal counter have been large contributing factors.We can continue with the struggle with a greater spotlight on the situation, today the Ogaden conflict is on the tables of the U.N, E.U and a large number of Governments.
