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James Dahl's 3 Step Program for Somalia's Prosperity

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James Dahl
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James Dahl's 3 Step Program for Somalia's Prosperity

Postby James Dahl » Wed Jul 23, 2008 6:01 pm

STEP 1: Quit the IMF, phase out foreign aid and burn all the Somali Shillings
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Self reliance and supply-side economics are the way forward, as has been proven by China and India quite recently, and the Monetarism pseudo-Keynesian economics of the IMF are toxic. Foreign aid does nothing for the economy and actually works against it, as most governments "providing" aid insist the goods have to be purchased in their country (so it helps their farmers out and isn't exactly altruistic, but rather a hidden subsidy). The Somali Shilling is a dead currency, and must be destroyed before any economic reforms can occur.

STEP 2: Sort out the currency
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Dahabshiil and the business community of Mogadishu and Bosaso should get together and create a Bank of Somalia, because the government is never going to do it, and establish a new currency, set an exchange rate of 20,000 old Somali shillings to 1 BoS banknote for a week (with priority given to the poor folks), and then notch it up to 50,000 old Somali shillings to 1 BoS banknote for the rest of the month, and then stop exchanging the currency at all.

Dahabshiil can start by only giving out BoS banknotes from remittances, and the traders in Mogadishu and Bosaso give only BoS banknotes on purchases and sales. Float it on the world currency market and investors could directly invest in the Somali economy by just purchasing Somali hard currency.

With good security on the banknotes, and control out of the grasping fingers of the corrupt politicians, Somalia could be the only country in Africa with a stable currency, which would be a gigantic boon to investment and business, and the government wouldn't have a "license to print money", so there would be a severe limit to how much damage they can do to the economy (see Zimbabwe, Puntland).

The Bank of Somalia would then store these foreign hard currencies from remittances and use them also to buy gold, as a solid backing for the BoS banknote, making the currency backed up by real money.

STEP 3: Create the Somali Oil and Minerals Corporation
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The Bank of Somalia and the Somali business community now creates the Somali Oil and Minerals Corporation, which is 75% funded by the Bank of Somalia from the hard foreign cash reserves from remittance money and the remaining 25% from private businessmen. The return on investment is more than was invested in the first place, and so it creates an investment feedback loop where the BoS recieves foreign hard currency earnings from mineral and oil sales worldwide to reinvest in more exploration and other industries in Somalia, ensuring the currency remains backed by hard currency and stable.

The huge oil and mineral profits for the Bank of Somalia are used to provide interest-free loans and even grants for small businesses and entrepreneurs throughout Somalia, as well as increasing the worth of the BoS banknote.

LATER STEPS:
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At this point, Somalia will have a solid enough foundation to open the country up to foreign investment, but only private corporations. The big international monetary bloodsuckers and governmental bodies can stay home.

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Re: James Dahl's 3 Step Program for Somalia's Prosperity

Postby paidmonk » Wed Jul 23, 2008 6:11 pm

Spot on, man! :up:

You know the country and its needs better than each of the sub-humans that roam this forum. You should run for president in 2009 if Shabaab haven't already taken over by then. But continue with your report if there's more to add. And I saw your latest map on Wikipedia...good stuff. The part about the resources and currency is the most important right now. Somalia needs to ration her resources and use them when its necessary, this could be the recipe for Somalia being a very rich state in the near future.

BTW...there are 10,000 James Dahl's on Facebook, add me instead, if possible. :up:

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Re: James Dahl's 3 Step Program for Somalia's Prosperity

Postby somalinetguy » Wed Jul 23, 2008 6:18 pm

good point
and forgetting the qabil/clan bullsh*t (which go hand to hand with racism and segregation ) is a necessity

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Re: James Dahl's 3 Step Program for Somalia's Prosperity

Postby RebelLion » Wed Jul 23, 2008 6:21 pm

I agree especially step 1, IMF and western loan organization is the reason why a lot of poor countries stay poor because they can't get out of debt.

But all of it easier said than done, how practical is this when there is no peace and you have al shabab terrorists wajing fake jihad?

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Re: James Dahl's 3 Step Program for Somalia's Prosperity

Postby James Dahl » Wed Jul 23, 2008 6:28 pm

RebelLion wrote:I agree especially step 1, IMF and western loan organization is the reason why a lot of poor countries stay poor because they can't get out of debt.

But all of it easier said than done, how practical is this when there is no peace and you have al shabab terrorists wajing fake jihad?


Step 2 could be done now actually. The Somali economy is controlled by the Bosaso business community, Dahabshiil, and the Bakara Market, and if they decided to change currencies there's nothing anyone can do about it.

Step 3 requires some government cooperation, and means pissing off the west who want their grubby hands on all those oil and mineral resources, but again if the government moves in then that's just too bad.

The TFG and Puntland depend on printing inflationary currency though, and they would fight it tooth and nail.

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Re: James Dahl's 3 Step Program for Somalia's Prosperity

Postby Cawar » Wed Jul 23, 2008 6:38 pm

I have a better solution..

Step I....> Kill Aweis and Indha Cadde

Stepp II : Open rehab and deterrorization programs for the lost youth in the shishkabob.

Step 3 : Give the TFG 1 more yr to get its act together..and call for free and fair elections.

Then and only then can we consider JD's steps.

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Re: James Dahl's 3 Step Program for Somalia's Prosperity

Postby Aerosmith » Wed Jul 23, 2008 7:35 pm

James Dahl blaming one group or the other will not bring about solution mate. All Somalis, including the expatriate community are to be blamed for the problems back home.

The IMF route is not an option now.

A single entity like Dahabshiil or even the whole Somali business community cannot single handedly bring about abandonment of existing old notes. New Bank of Somali notes printing itself requires money and I highly doubt the business community is willing to take the burden. Quite the contrary, most if not all business enterprises in Somalia are benefiting from the currency exchange fluctuation. It is them in kohoot with other traders who either print or aid in distribution of funny money. Lets not forget these guys are the real market makers and set the exchange rate at the expense of shacabka.

How can a private entity, in this case the Somali Businesses set the required legislations needed to govern them? Even if they do, these laws will obviously be skewed in their favor.
My best bet is for TFG and business community to sit together and abandon the currency entirely, with the buy back option(starting with the poor and the existing currency bought by the TFG as they are/claim to be the governing body. This should be done at a favorable rate, preferably inverted pyramid with the common man receiving the best rate and business owners getting the higher ups). The US Dollar is an option as most large scale traders use it within Somalia.

Proposals like oil firms aren't worth exploring now. The capital needed for such ventures is huge. Minerals is great idea, specially salt processing.

Somalis are enterprising as it and do not need to venture into big money businesses. We can explore further existing businesses and carve a niche for ourselves: Among

1- Xolaha trading. Bosaso and Berbera can take the next necessary steps to directly deliver ari to the middle east without middle men. They can also add value and markup by directly dealing with retails like Dubai's Carrefour and process/package the meat in Somalia. Same goes for fish.

2-Communication. With cheap setup and friendly taxes Somalia is a good business process
outsourcing hub. From simple transcription to Knowledge based outsoursing , all can be done
in Somalia. Skilled workers can be acquired from neighboring Kenya.

3- Manufacturing Free zones. Appreciating Renminbi is forcing many small scale Chinese manufacturers to look into other cheaper manufacturing destinations. Knowing the somali kibir, we can even import cheap labor from china,Philippines, India.

Overall the operative word here is peace and without it forget it.

Ilaahay unbaa Somalia u maqan.

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Re: James Dahl's 3 Step Program for Somalia's Prosperity

Postby qardasay » Wed Jul 23, 2008 11:00 pm

Cawar wrote:I have a better solution..

Step I....> Kill Aweis and Indha Cadde

Stepp II : Open rehab and deterrorization programs for the lost youth in the shishkabob.

Step 3 : Give the TFG 1 more yr to get its act together..and call for free and fair elections.

Then and only then can we consider JD's steps.


step 1: mujahadiin will assasinate abdullahi yusuf

step 2:

2009 will be all about Sheik Hasan dahir Awes vs Sheik Sharif and the international community will be supporting the moderate leader Sheik shariff, abdullaahi yusuf will be tossed aside like a used condom

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Re: James Dahl's 3 Step Program for Somalia's Prosperity

Postby Twisted_Logic » Wed Jul 23, 2008 11:16 pm

Hawiye Capitalism is the way to go. We did it in 90s and we can do it again :up:


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