New Jersey has strong republican support likewise a Democratic one so far it seems, even the governor of New Jersey Christopher James is a republican himself.
if obama doesnt win florida its over for him if romeny doesnt win varginia its over for him
if there isn't any upsets in wisconsin or penslyvania then Obama is still in it for the long run, winning florida will significantly help obama but not necessarily suggest an obama defeat

i doubt obama will lose pennsylvania but i saw fox news yesterday they were saying pennsylvania is in play, thats why obama sent bill clinton yesterday to compain, wisconsin i am not sure, even though it was blue but republican are working hard there, republican gov win the recall last summer also paul ryan is from there so expect anything