Experts say syria war: Draw

[IbnTaymiyyah]

Assad made big gains in homs, his former home town of latakia has fallen to Mujahideen, plus the mujahideen have the upper hand in the South and Aleppo looks like the NeXT Stalingraad, it can take years for assad to only open that city. Mujahideen have made gains in Aleppo they took controll of a new airport.

but all in all assad have managed to open the highway between Quseyr, Homs, to South Aleppo and finally to Damascus..
this war looks like Draw, assad had momentum not so long ago, but now it looks like a Draw.. many troops are leaving assad and joining FSA..

this war have officiale become the war of patience, WHO can outlast WHO..?

[SecretAgent]

Wen ever da west pulls da plung of Assad is game over so far assad has been a good ally of israel,iran,russia,china assad has no choice but to finish off da rebels thy r @der weakest point now

[Titanium]

Are those experts from the Salafiyya?

Assad got this. The Salafiyya lucky to escape are fleeing back to their countries of origin

[IbnTaymiyyah]

Wen ever da west pulls da plung of Assad is game over so far assad has been a good ally of israel,iran,russia,china assad has no choice but to finish off da rebels thy r @der weakest point now

I would have agreed with u on this maybe weeks ago, but not now, the situation have changed

must read article

BEIRUT - The regime's new victory in
Homs and rebel advances in the north and south of Syria are signs that
both sides are looking to make headway before much-touted peace talks."Having
consolidated its victory in Homs, the regime controls all the area
stretching from Damascus to the coast," says analyst Karim Bitar of the
French Institute of International and Strategic Relations."The
rebels control the north and the Euphrates valley area (Aleppo, Raqa
and Deir Ezzor), while the Kurds, who are growing increasingly
autonomous, hold the northeast," Bitar said.The Syrian
government announced Monday the capture of Khaldiyeh, a key rebel
district in Homs, Syria's third city and a symbol of the revolt against
President Bashar al-Assad.The fall of Khaldiyeh came after a month-long offensive and more than a year into a suffocating siege of the neighbourhood.

It
was the second win for Assad's regime in two months, after the army,
with the help of fighters from Lebanon's powerful Shiite movement
Hezbollah, captured in June the rebel bastion of Qusayr.The rebels have also scored their own victories in recent weeks.

Last
Monday, they seized control of Khan al-Assal, the regime's last bastion
in the west of Aleppo province near the Turkish border, after
reportedly killing 150 loyalist troops.Opposition
fighters have also made significant gains in the southern province of
Daraa -- known as the cradle of the uprising against Assad which is now
in its third year -- despite massive regime bombardments.Meanwhile,
the Kurds, who constitute some 15 percent of Syria's population, strive
to carve out an autonomous state in the north, amid concern from Turkey
across the border."These positions will not likely
develop in the near future and are already quite clear ahead of the
Geneva 2 summit", Bitar said of the peace conference proposed by the
United States and Russia."But the longer it takes for the summit to convene, the more a united Syrian state will be under threat.

"We
are already seeing different legal systems, flags, and local economies
and political bodies in place," across the country, he added.Nevertheless,
he said, it was not clear "what incentives could be offered through
negotiations to the different parties, in order to convince them to give
up their gains and go back to working under the umbrella of national
unity".Analysts say neither the regime nor the rebels are making military gains significant enough to give either side a real victory.

"We
should see things for what they are: there is an impasse and each army
or rebel advance is no more than a Pyrrhic victory" with a devastating
cost for the victor, said Khattar Abou Diab."Capturing
a few square kilometres (miles) doesn't solve anything," said the
analyst, a Middle East expert at Paris Sud University.According
to him "the West is stopping the regime from winning, while Russia,
China and Iran are doing the same with the opposition."There will never be a victor, or a vanquished," he said.

"The
Syrian conflict has become a three-stage rocket -- one local, one
regional and another international," he said, adding that the US and
Russia hold the highest traction.Despite US Secretary
of State John Kerry's optimism, the Geneva summit appears difficult to
convene because of major disagreements over the purpose of the talks and
who would take part.Abou Diab said a "global deal"
was needed between Moscow and Washington, including the personal
engagement of US President Barack Obama and his Russian counterpart
Vladimir Putin for a solution to be reached.The Syria conflict, he warned, "will determine the fate of the Middle East for the coming years, if not decades."

Meanwhile,
Rami Abdel Rahman of the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said "both
sides think they can advance on the ground. It is an illusion"."I
don't think the states arming the rebels really think they can create a
balance of forces on the ground. They're looking for partition," Abdel
Rahman said.In the Old City of Homs, still under rebel
control despite massive bombardment, anti-regime activist Abu Bilal
voiced bitterness."They're all playing with us, the
treacherous United States by standing with the ( exiled opposition)
National Coalition, and Russia by siding with the regime. In the end, we
are the losers."