Postby gurey25 » Mon Oct 21, 2013 1:26 am
but fishing in troubled water is dangerous, who knows what could come out of a somalia anlogue syria,
decades of war could lead to movement that is competent , intelligent and lethal.
Right now brain dead islamist fighters are dropping like flies, but their is a steady stream of supply thousands are entering syria daily.
soon if they win they will turn on each other and the environmnetal conditions could produce allot of mutations in their psyche and thinking.
but i see the advantages isreal will get, the waters of the litani and the houran region in syria will be for the taking.
Isreal will say they need a buffer to contain terrorists, while they build the dams and underground water pipelines into isreal.
Hezbollah needs to be taken out first, but that is not likely, you need to knockout iran first, because it can supply hezbollah and the future resistance in syria.
Isreal cannot interdict supply lines in syria and moving further out from the houran region will invite heavy casualties from IED's and ATGM missile hit and run attacks. combat air patrol and drones will not work in such a large region, and without knocking out iran, drones will be easilly knocked out by manpads, AAA's linked to small compact radar produced in iran that can fit into a pickup truck, not to mention the very cheap GPS jamming units that are the size of a IPOD and cost as little at $15 a pieace, a few dozen over a hundred square Km will deny the area to cruise missile and create problems for even the latest drones.
and whats even worse will be datalink jamming technology, right now it is very expensive, but it is shrinking and reducing in price,
in a few years they will be at an affordable price that you can throw away a couple of hundred and give it out to rebels like candy.
This mean drones will be dropping out of the sky all over the place, unless escorted by dedicated electronics warfare aircraft.
but then again whats the point of drones if you still need to deploy manned aircraft???
Iran needs to go or isreal cannot expand.