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Alshabab still quiet about the election and Farmaajo

Daily chitchat on Somali politics.

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James Dahl
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Re: Alshabab still quiet about the election and Farmaajo

Postby James Dahl » Sun Feb 12, 2017 4:15 am

I believe it actually, Godane has had a hit out on Mukhtar Roobow for years now, and he's been complaining about his guys (the Rahanweyn troops) being treated like dirt by the foreigners and northern Somalis who make up most of the Shabab leadership but not the soldiers (most Shabab soldiers are Rahanweyn)

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Re: Alshabab still quiet about the election and Farmaajo

Postby Khalid Ali » Sun Feb 12, 2017 4:29 am

i doubt it godane has been dead for 2 years now the new.leadership is actually now from the south so i doubt he would be resentful towards godane the former emir of shabaab.. roobow is a great islamist hard liner he is not the type like sharif or dahir aweys

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Re: Alshabab still quiet about the election and Farmaajo

Postby James Dahl » Sun Feb 12, 2017 4:38 am

It depends on how you look at it. If Farmaajo intends to replace AMISOM with Abu Mansur's forces and refight the 2006 unification of Somalia only as the recognized government this time around, then this isn't surrender so much as switching sides.

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Re: Alshabab still quiet about the election and Farmaajo

Postby FBISOMALIA » Sun Feb 12, 2017 4:55 am

what happened to re capturing laascanood why didnt cawar gaas visit badhan siilaanyo visited laas qoray


messiah moses was in taleex u are defeated pl is broke and hg gave u an ass whooping

dunida waxa ugu itaal daran oo wax ka indho adag dhiiilo xun oo darood ah sida tan la baXday tuugsi
visit for 1 hour :lol: , Gaas went to Sanaag before PL election , faroole went to south sool .

Your occupation days for Laascanood about to finish , PL troops moved up to tuqarak soon enough the War of freedom will start .

Stay tune PL is coming .



how come gaas cannot visit badhan as president of pl. sillanyi visited lasqoray as the president of sl


fbisomalia when are u gonna attack us. its been 10 years since we took over sool lol

u still treatening but no results no action
When the Sanaag road finish , he will be there 8-)

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Re: Alshabab still quiet about the election and Farmaajo

Postby fanaanYG » Sun Feb 12, 2017 4:59 am

It was only this morning when AS attack battalion six government base in shabeelada hoose warmaxan and tixsiile so hold your horses back

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Re: Alshabab still quiet about the election and Farmaajo

Postby FarhanYare » Sun Feb 12, 2017 5:11 am








its just here say james let me tell you something when somalis say war war hoosaad ilo xog xog ogaal ah. it just means speculation as long as we havent heard anything from roobow him self dont believe it
Image

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Re: Alshabab still quiet about the election and Farmaajo

Postby FarhanYare » Sun Feb 12, 2017 5:15 am

Some of the nationalistic shabaab will defect now that Farmaajo is elected kulaha. Op ma hurudaa? Shabaab and nationalism don't go together. The next scheduled qarax is the 25th. We will see how Farmajo deals with this
How do you know about their qarax schedule?
Looking at the patterns of qaraxs that occurred nearly every 2 months, sometimes the months are consecutive and fall on either 25, 26, or 27th. Seems to be the wholly days for them.

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Re: Alshabab still quiet about the election and Farmaajo

Postby TheblueNwhite » Sun Feb 12, 2017 5:16 am

It depends on how you look at it. If Farmaajo intends to replace AMISOM with Abu Mansur's forces and refight the 2006 unification of Somalia only as the recognized government this time around, then this isn't surrender so much as switching sides.
How do you know of Farmajo's intentions Im curious?

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Re: Alshabab still quiet about the election and Farmaajo

Postby sahal80 » Sun Feb 12, 2017 5:20 am

somali al shabab elements like abu mansour and hizbul islam have connections with eritrea and farmajo will restore relations with eritrea. one of his close circles is zakariya expected to be a minister he has relations with asmara

but we have to understand that the pro-ethiopian militia ahlussuna have welcomed him too and said they will join the SNA

Ethiopia has the security card in koonfur and can even assassinate him. it will take for two years to replace ethiopia with other forces. he must work first on the alternatives.

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Re: Alshabab still quiet about the election and Farmaajo

Postby James Dahl » Sun Feb 12, 2017 6:36 am

An Islamist-Nationalist alliance has happened before, the 2000-2004 government allied with what would later become the UIC and only failed due to the strength of the warlords. The situation is much different now and a strong nationalist government can reunify the country, it's happened before in other countries like China.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beiyang_government
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Northern_Expedition

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Re: Alshabab still quiet about the election and Farmaajo

Postby PrinceNugaalHawd » Sun Feb 12, 2017 7:28 am

They mostly will break up into some who surrender, some who enter talks, and some who will keep fighting.

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Re: Alshabab still quiet about the election and Farmaajo

Postby AbkoowDhiblaawe » Sun Feb 12, 2017 2:17 pm



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