Beledweyne Floods

[grandpakhalif]

Ogaden isn’t minority unlike your ilk grandpa,
Are you jealous that they live in 3 states?

Can you keep your ppl in Buula Xaawa because Ogaden lives from Dhoobleey to Buuaale,
It was SPM fighting and liberating Kismaayo in the 1980s and 1990s it was Omar Jess keeping you guys in Kismaayo And in 2020 it’s Ahmed Madoobe liberating from Alshabab and the warlords that had Isbaaros and build the first Jubbaland state. If you are a true owner or resident how come your run to Garbaharey and don’t want to ever fight and die for it?

7 degmos of Gedo are free you fool, you want us to liberate your land for you? Are you to weak to liberate Buale? Your uncle has been stuck in Kismayo for 11 years!

[paperino]

Contrary to GeoSeven's claim of 'a portion of the populace', the last video I've posted proves more than 50% of bulshada Beledweyne have evacuated. It's from a reporter on the ground, reporting for Hirshabelle's own Hiiraanweyn TV. With the dayr and gu' seasons on the horizon, and no long-lasting solution to the recurrent floods, a majority of the evacuees have become disillusioned and exhausted, and as a result do not plan to return.

The dual strategy of the anti-flood committee is levees and sand. The problem with the levees is, it lacks foundation, built above muddy soil, and constructed with simple dhagax and plain shiminto, as the image shows:

The way and the materials used to construct the levees are ill-suited for containing floods, particularly ones affected by climate change.

As for the sand strategy, one has to wonder what the committee were thinking. Didn't they take into account with torrential rains, also affected by climate change? This sort of solution is only gonna compound the problems. An image showing the efforts of the committee:


Per my estimation, it would require spending at least $25 millions, the involvement of international construction companies, the involvement of AS to provide security for the duration of the construction--to construct a long-lasting hybrid system that manages the floods. The question; is any party or individual (rich enough) willing to commit to such a project?

Stay tuned for more updates...

[paperino]

Update:

IGAD warns about very heavy rainfall for Somalia in coming days/weeks:

Urur goboleedka IGAD ayaa ku baaqay in la qaado talaabooyin ku haboon si looga hortago qatarta ka dhalan karta roobab mahiigaan ah oo la filayo inay ka da’aan Soomaaliya bartamaha bisha Sebtember, 2020.

Roobab culus oo ka sarreeya 200 mm ayaa laga filayaa inay ka da’aan gobolada waqooyi-bari ee Soomaaliya (Puntalnd) iyo meelo yar oo kamid ah bartamaha Itoobiya, sida lagu sheegay bayaanka IGAD.

Bayaanka ayaa sidoo kale lagu sheegay in roobab fudud oo ka yar 50 mm la filayo inay ka da’aan qaybo ka mid ah waqooyiga iyo koonfurta Soomaaliya iyo dhul xeebeedka Jabuuti.
https://hiiraan.com/news/2020/Sept/wara ... aantaFront

-------

The Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) has advised all stakeholders to take appropriate measures to prevent risks due to the expected heavy rains in Ethiopia and Somalia in the middle of September, 2020.

Heavy rainfall above 200 mm is expected in north-eastern Somalia and a few places central Ethiopia, according to the statement of IGAD.

Moderate rainfall between 50-200 mm is also expected in south-western Sudan, north-western to south-western South Sudan, western and parts of central Ethiopia, parts of north-eastern Somalia, north-western Uganda, and western Kenya, it was learned.

The statement further stated that light rainfall less than 50 mm is expected in parts of central Sudan, north-western Eritrea, parts of northern, eastern and southern Ethiopia, western and central South Sudan, northern and southern Somalia, coastal parts of Djibouti, parts of central and eastern Uganda, southern and eastern Kenya, and eastern parts of Tanzania.
https://allafrica.com/stories/202009160112.html

While the warning doesn't mention the Beledweyne area, it hints at what's about to come, as these aren't your run-of-the-mill rains.

[paperino]

Update:

After nearly 2 weeks, hundreds of families who evacuated from at least 4 districts in Beledweyne continue to languish at Ceeljaale (about 5km from Beledweyne). They depend on the military for water, which is the only help they get, otherwise would have perished. They are in dire situation. A number of districts in Beledweyne are still completely deserted. The anti-flood committee claimed victory against the floods, unprepared & oblivious to upcoming torrential rains and floods.

[paperino]

Update:

In addition to harsh conditions, thousands of the internally displaced have now to contend with insecurity, as Al-shabab attacked NISA at Ceeljaale, causing unspecified damages & loss of life, and blackout in the area including Beledweyne:

Dhaqdhaaqa Al-shabaab ayaa xalay weerar ku qaaday bar koontarool oo ay ku leeyihiin ciidamada NISA deegaanka Ceel-jaalle ee duleedka magaalada Beledweyne.

Barta koontarool ee ciidamada NISA lagu soo weeraray ayaa aheyd goob lagu baaro dadka iyo gaadiidka soo gala magaalada beledweyne kana baxa.

Dagaalka halkaasi ku dhexmaray Al-shabaab iyo NISA ayaa ahaa mid waqti koobaan socday walow rasaas aad u badan ay is dhaafsadeen lamana oga qasaaraha rasmiga ah ee halkaasi ka dhashay.

Mudadii uu socday dagaalka u dhaxeeyay Shabaab iyo NISA waxaa xaalad koronto la'aan ah ay ka jirtay xaafadaha magaalada Beledweyne taaso cabsi badan kusii abuurtay dadka ku dhaqan magaalada.
https://hiiraan.com/news/2020/Sept/wara ... 175250.htm

[Gubbet]

Wallabi bilaahi I am actually quite impressed with your level of industry understanding when addressing the cost estimates as well as structural vulnerabilities.

Do you by any chance work in this field or are you environmentally conscious and do your own independent research?

I feel for Beled-Weyne wallahj and in fact all down river between Khelaafo and Mahadaay Weyn.

I mean this is is a speeding bullet train.

I mean at some point somehow it will click THAT SOMETHING IS GETTING WORSE AND WORSE.

It's not just that Beled-Weyne has flooding.

It is that Beled-Weyne has MULTIPLE floods in a single year more and more frequently.

At the same time the city is getting bigger with more urban density.

This means in the summer, the dying river faces rising pressures of over utilization, while in rainy season the built environment's impact on soil erosion plus urban density cause high casualty flooding.

W

[paperino]

Wallabi bilaahi I am actually quite impressed with your level of industry understanding when addressing the cost estimates as well as structural vulnerabilities.

Do you by any chance work in this field or are you environmentally conscious and do your own independent research?

There are many who know better than I do. Thanks for the compliment.

Update:

Hundreds of families still continue to languish at Ceeljaale. Meanwhile, some of the anti-flood committee members (including Xaaji Dhagaxoow, short engineer) have been celebrating, giving TV interviews, photo-op tours at the river with some diaspora and others--oblivious to recent forecasts and warnings of upcoming rains, storms, floods, etc in the region:

Digniin laga bixiyay Roobab duufaano wata oo kusoo wajahan qaar kamid ah gobolada Soomaaliya


Sabti, October 3, 2020 (HOL) - Roobab dhexdhexaad ah iyo kuwo culus ayaa laga filayaa qaybo ka mid ah Puntland iyo gobollada dhexe in aay ka da'aan toddobaadkan bilowday gudihiisa, sida ay shaacisay hay’adda Maareynta Macluumaadka Biyaha iyo Dhulka Soomaaliya ee SWALIM.

Gobollada Hiiraan, Bakool, Galguduud, Mudug, Nugaal iyo qeybaha koonfureed ee gobolka Sool ayaa heli doona xaddiga roobka inta lagu jiro muddada saadaasha hawada.

Duufaanno xoog leh ayaa la filayaa inta u dhexeysa 03 iyo 05 Oktoobar in ay ku dhuftaan gobolada Nugaal, Mudug, Galgaduud iyo Hiiraan, waxaana cabsi laga muujinayaa inay horseedi karaan daadad xoog leh oo ka dhaca meelaha qaar.

Xilli Roobaadka Dayrta oo bilowday ayaa qaar kamid ah gobolada dalka lagasoo sheegayaa roobab xadigoodu yar yahay.

Marka la fiiriyo saadaasha roobka iyo xaaladda hadda jirta ee labada webi, Khatar Weyn oo fatahaad ayaa weli socota sida ay sheegtay hay'addu.
https://hiiraan.com/news/2020/Oct/warar ... arkaMaanta

[paperino]

Update:

The Deyr rains have started; please keep in your prayers that the poor whom the rains/floods mostly affect are spared this time. Meanwhile:

Garoonka diyaaradaha Beledweyne oo xirmay & wararkii u dambeeyey


Warar ka imaanaya gobolka Hiiraan ayaa sheegaya inuu xirmay garoonka diyaaradaha magaalada Beledweyne ee Ugaas Khaliif, kadib markii roobab mahiigaan ah ay saacadihii la soo dhaafay ka da’een magaaladaasi.

Sida ay Caasimada Online u sheegeen ilo wareedyo lagu kalsoon yahay waxaa hakad galay dhammaan shaqooyinka garoonkaasi iyo howlihii duulimaadyada.

Sidoo kale roobabka ka da’ay Beledweyne oo daadad watay ayaa biyo dhigay gudaha garoonka Ugaas Khaliif oo aa in muddo ah helin wax dayac tir ah.

Mid ka mid ah dadka deegaanka oo la hadlay warbaahinta ayaa sheegay in maanta garoonka uusan shaqeyneynin, islamarkaana ay saameyn ku yeesheen roobabkii da’ay.

“Runtii roobkii ka da’ay magaalada iyo carro ayaa xiray garoonka diyaaradaha Beledweyne maanta ma’ahan mid shaqeynaya, qofkii Xamar u socda gaari ayuu Guriceel ku tegayaa si uu diyaarad uga soo raaco,” ayuu yiri qof ka mid ah dadka Beledweyne.
https://www.caasimada.net/garoonka-diya ... dambeeyey/

In related news, officials in the region in an effort to showcase their 'great' accomplishments, have been bragging about paving some streets in Beledweyne over the past several days. Unfortunately, the politically motivated showcase was undertaken during the wet season when it would have been better to do it during the dry season. Compounding, the job done is mediocre, not meant to last even a few years:

[paperino]

Once again, Beledweyne's airport has been closed due to floods:

Waxaa maanta gabi ahaanba xiran howlahii duulimaadyada diyaaradaha garoonka diyaaradaha Ugaas Khaliif ee magaalada baledweyne ee xarunta gobolka Hiiraan, kadib Roobaab xoogaan oo habeenkii xalay ahaa ka da'ay magaalada Baledweyne iyo nawaaxigeeda.

Roobabka xalay ka da'ay Baledweyne ayaa sababay iney biyo farabadan dhex fariistaan dhabaha loogu talo galay iney ku cararto diyaarada marka aay soo dageyso iyo marka aay kaceysaba.

Rakaabkii maanta u kala duuli lahaa magaalooyinka Baledweyne iyo Muqdisho ayaa safaradooda ka baaqday kadib markii saakay lagu wargeliyay ineysan jirin duulimaadyadii garoonka Ugaas Khaliif ee magaalada Baledweyne.

Sanad walba marka la gaaro xiliyada roobabka ee Gu'ga iyo Deyrtaba waxaa xirma guud ahaan duulimaadka garoonka Ugaas Khaliif ee magaalada Baledweyne sababo la xariira garoonka oo aay biyaha roobabka dhex fariisayaan.
https://hiiraan.com/news/2021/Apr/warar ... arkaMaanta

The status quo is practically the same, no improvements since many months. Let's hope the torrential rains & floods do not affect the local people, particularly barakacayaasha (many who are still languishing in camps outside the city since the last floods).

[paperino]

Once again, the dreaded outcome:

Wararka ka imaanaya gobolka Hiiraan ayaa sheegaya in maanta xaalad adag ay ka taagan tahay magaalada Beledweyne ee xarunta gobolkaasi, kadib markii uu fatahaad horleh ka geystay webiga Shabelle ee mara magaaladaasi.

Wabiga ayaa waxaa lagu soo warramayaa inuu saacadihii lasoo dhaafay fatahaad ka sameeyey dhinaca xaafadda Xaawo-Taako oo ka tirsan magaalada Beledweyne, kadib markii biyo raacay Keliga Dhagax-Jebis ay karkaarada jabsadeen.

Sidoo kale wararka ayaa intaasi kusii daraya in dadka deegaanka ay billaabeen barakac, si aysan go’doon ugu gelin xaafadaha uu ku fatahay webiga Shabelle ee Beledweyne.
https://www.caasimada.net/xaalad-adag-o ... billowday/

A band-aid solution isn't a solution. What's worse is, the band-aid solution is an environmental disaster already in larval stage before it metamorphoses and causes much damage. Beledweyne's leaders & traditional elders (particularly the 'laandheeres') completely failed their citizens, and aren't fit for leadership. The $6 million Italian aid, among many aids, was pocketed by former president Waare and other Beledweyne elites, and then had the audacity of complaining about the FG withholding aid & blaming NGOs. Unless those leaders & traditional elders are purged and replaced by competent ones, the suffering of Beledweyne's citizens would continue.

[paperino]

One of the first videos in which the locals are imploring for help, having lost faith in their local leaders:

The situation is sad & serious.