Deni miscalculated his strength and popularity in Puntland. Deni is very popular among the diaspora of puntland an among the political elite of aaran jaan. however among the ISIMO and general population he is very unpopular. And the only reason why the diaspora put up with his nonsense is because he is using the "FARMAAJO" card.
Deni also does not have an army capable of being deployed to a location which can then complete their assigned mission. Notice how he had to get clan militias and their leaders to fight the PSF. Also notice how the first decree of the ISIMO was that Diano had to step down however his weapons are clan weapons and until all clans are disarmed bah dir won't be disarmed.
When Deni refused and waged war on bosaaso the ISIMO 2nd decree was even more harsh and included Diano to remain as head of PSF and he removal of PO from bosaso port and other aspects like 17 percent of bosaaso port going back to bosaaso.
The head of FEIT is ali salebaan who are the biggest MJ subclan in bosaaso they make up the majority of PMFP militia that refused to fight the PSF.
i think Geele is another miscalculation of deni similar to the 1p1v vote miscalculation deni done in 3 degmo of which he lost 2. till this day the new council has not taken office yet.
People like the paint Deni as a political savvy individual but that is the farthest from the truth he followed a script from UAE with his political battle against Farmaajo and the outcome was 17 September agreement which favours farmaajo, even though deni wrote the whole thing. then when he refused to uphold the 17th September agreement. Farmaajo allowed another agreement the 22 august agreement that gave the majority of the powers to the FMS. Again this was a win for Farmaajo and loss for Rooble and MM.
Anyway the current situation he sees himself in Puntland does not have a script from UAE which is why we are seeing for the first time the political naivety of Deni and his ultimate undoing.




