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Professor Ingriis: Al shabab take over of Mogadishu is possible this year

Daily chitchat on Somali politics.

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MrSinister
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Professor Ingriis: Al shabab take over of Mogadishu is possible this year

Postby MrSinister » Sun Oct 30, 2022 2:30 pm

Btw, this guy is hawiye I believe. He sees how the security of the capital has deteriorated in the last few months. HSMs fake war on al Shabbab and turning clans against other has made things much worse.




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Re: Professor Ingriis: Al shabab take over of Mogadishu is possible this year

Postby Murax » Sun Oct 30, 2022 2:45 pm

It’s also worth noting Prof Ingriis was the biggest Mucaarad to Farmaajo. Same with Abukar Arman.

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Re: Professor Ingriis: Al shabab take over of Mogadishu is possible this year

Postby AbkoowDhiblaawe » Sun Oct 30, 2022 2:51 pm

Highly exaggerated.

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Re: Professor Ingriis: Al shabab take over of Mogadishu is possible this year

Postby Gubbet » Sun Oct 30, 2022 3:03 pm

Engiriis is a valuable treasure. I have enjoyed watching him redeem his scholarly credentials from any of the Somali taint. So to see him speak so clearly and forcefully above the inauthentic and superficial "engineered" public "discourse" of the day is amazing.

Even if he stops me dead in my tracks with the the extent of his ominous warning.

When I come across Engiriis these days, he seems like a man who should be tesching this book.

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Re: Professor Ingriis: Al shabab take over of Mogadishu is possible this year

Postby Isseayaanle » Sun Oct 30, 2022 3:13 pm

Highly exaggerated.
I for the first time agree with you. Xalane are getting too much profits to leave xamar let alone Somalia.

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Re: Professor Ingriis: Al shabab take over of Mogadishu is possible this year

Postby Gubbet » Sun Oct 30, 2022 3:19 pm

Highly exaggerated.
I for the first time agree with you. Xalane are getting too much profits to leave xamar let alone Somalia.
You are ver, very, very emotionally dependent and invested in AMISOM.

Let me tell you something from a place of genuine advice.

If you are invested in someone else making possible your dream, it is best to start reevaluating that dream and choosing differently now when you control when and how and in what manner you grieve for the end of that dream.

Genuine, human advice.

The most profitable investor will always come from among the biggest risk takers, but the most predictable loss will always be investments into a losing proposition.

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Re: Professor Ingriis: Al shabab take over of Mogadishu is possible this year

Postby MrSinister » Sun Oct 30, 2022 4:41 pm

Highly exaggerated.
I for the first time agree with you. Xalane are getting too much profits to leave xamar let alone Somalia.
African Union troops and foreign air strikes are the only thing stopping al shabab from taking over Mogadishu and the rest of the south. The question is how long does this support last, what happens when there is a global recession and funds for amisom dries up? Already your seeing the western public tired of their governments financial support for Ukriane. What happens when western governments become hands off on Somalia? I also think HSM is creating a pipeline of recruits (youths disaffected by HSM clannism and corruption) and arms for al shabab that is making them stronger than the media would have you believe.

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Re: Professor Ingriis: Al shabab take over of Mogadishu is possible this year

Postby Isseayaanle » Sun Oct 30, 2022 5:28 pm

Highly exaggerated.
I for the first time agree with you. Xalane are getting too much profits to leave xamar let alone Somalia.
You are ver, very, very emotionally dependent and invested in AMISOM.

Let me tell you something from a place of genuine advice.

If you are invested in someone else making possible your dream, it is best to start reevaluating that dream and choosing differently now when you control when and how and in what manner you grieve for the end of that dream.

Genuine, human advice.

The most profitable investor will always come from among the biggest risk takers, but the most predictable loss will always be investments into a losing proposition.
I'm not! I'm just stating the facts that Gaalos hardly leave Muslim lands once they come. Look at Iraq, Syria, etc. The only reason they left Afghanistan was to shift focus on the east. Also, Somalia isn't like other nations, it has TOO MANY RESOURCES and is highly profitable for xalane to keep it forever. And if anyone is dependent on Amisom is YOU. We all know GEDO is infested with Alshedan. You should be thankful for AMISOM.
Last edited by Isseayaanle on Sun Oct 30, 2022 5:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: Professor Ingriis: Al shabab take over of Mogadishu is possible this year

Postby Isseayaanle » Sun Oct 30, 2022 5:32 pm

Highly exaggerated.
I for the first time agree with you. Xalane are getting too much profits to leave xamar let alone Somalia.
African Union troops and foreign air strikes are the only thing stopping al shabab from taking over Mogadishu and the rest of the south. The question is how long does this support last, what happens when there is a global recession and funds for amisom dries up? Already your seeing the western public tired of their governments financial support for Ukriane. What happens when western governments become hands off on Somalia? I also think HSM is creating a pipeline of recruits (youths disaffected by HSM clannism and corruption) and arms for al shabab that is making them stronger than the media would have you believe.
Don't think for second though that if alsheydaan take over the south, they'll not come to putland and do the same thing. Putland isn't like somaliland where the Elites pay alsheydan to keep them away. There Already present in the mountains of putland a little.

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Re: Professor Ingriis: Al shabab take over of Mogadishu is possible this year

Postby MrSinister » Sun Oct 30, 2022 6:01 pm



I for the first time agree with you. Xalane are getting too much profits to leave xamar let alone Somalia.
African Union troops and foreign air strikes are the only thing stopping al shabab from taking over Mogadishu and the rest of the south. The question is how long does this support last, what happens when there is a global recession and funds for amisom dries up? Already your seeing the western public tired of their governments financial support for Ukriane. What happens when western governments become hands off on Somalia? I also think HSM is creating a pipeline of recruits (youths disaffected by HSM clannism and corruption) and arms for al shabab that is making them stronger than the media would have you believe.
Don't think for second though that if alsheydaan take over the south, they'll not come to putland and do the same thing. Putland isn't like somaliland where the Elites pay alsheydan to keep them away. There Already present in the mountains of putland a little.
There is no al shabab in Puntland. Al shabab is successful where there is no real government or institutions, they exist where there are power vacuums. People seek them for justice when they can’t get it else where and they have embedded themselves in clans in the south.

They can’t do that in Puntland because everyone from the old lady to the young boy will point the finger at them and snitch on them.

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Re: Professor Ingriis: Al shabab take over of Mogadishu is possible this year

Postby ReturnOfMariixmaan » Sun Oct 30, 2022 7:06 pm

It’s also worth noting Prof Ingriis was the biggest Mucaarad to Farmaajo. Same with Abukar Arman.
It’s cuz his the main character vs us. That’s why his opinion holds weight:


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Re: Professor Ingriis: Al shabab take over of Mogadishu is possible this year

Postby original dervish » Sun Oct 30, 2022 7:17 pm

AS don't need to take over the capital.......they're already collecting taxes, assassinating opponents and committing atrocities freely.

Obviously this latest massacre of the innocents has caused people to be disillusioned with the government.
However, AS hasn't been under this much pressure since the days of Geedi.

The people must hold firm and continue the war against AS.........There is no other way.

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Re: Professor Ingriis: Al shabab take over of Mogadishu is possible this year

Postby ReturnOfMariixmaan » Sun Oct 30, 2022 7:21 pm

Highly exaggerated.
I for the first time agree with you. Xalane are getting too much profits to leave xamar let alone Somalia.
You are ver, very, very emotionally dependent and invested in AMISOM.

Let me tell you something from a place of genuine advice.

If you are invested in someone else making possible your dream, it is best to start reevaluating that dream and choosing differently now when you control when and how and in what manner you grieve for the end of that dream.

Genuine, human advice.

:eat: The most profitable investor will always come from among the biggest risk takers, but the most predictable loss will always be investments into a losing proposition.

:wow:

It’s a Shifta finesse at the 11th hour


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Re: Professor Ingriis: Al shabab take over of Mogadishu is possible this year

Postby sahal80 » Sun Oct 30, 2022 10:13 pm

kkkkk xaguu ku noolaa kaas 5 tii sanoo la soo dhaafey waryaada Xamar hadaa la xoreeyay he is Af Shabaab hawiye.

Xamar has the right president now who will finish Al Dir Al Shabaab no someone who doesn't belong to it keep dreaming :pac:

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Re: Professor Ingriis: Al shabab take over of Mogadishu is possible this year

Postby sahal80 » Sun Oct 30, 2022 10:58 pm

AS don't need to take over the capital.......they're already collecting taxes, assassinating opponents and committing atrocities freely.

Obviously this latest massacre of the innocents has caused people to be disillusioned with the government.
However, AS hasn't been under this much pressure since the days of Geedi.

The people must hold firm and continue the war against AS.........There is no other way.
he is Af Shabaab Hawiye self-serving individual all he cares about is to get Mahad Salaad's kursi or blackmail the Govt they r looking for any chance to get attention. we have many Hawiye who want to be the new CBB but the Govt said no to them some of them are Hassan Sheikh qaraabo they started attacking him. No Corruptionkii Farmaajo.

this Govt is the Govt of Xamar and gobolada dhexe people first that why they liberated the land in 5 months what Farmaajo couldn't do in 5 years and waged ganacsi war against Al Shabaab. if we win the ganacsi war Al Shaydaan is done. we r winning. alot of Ganacsato have moved to the green zone close the the airport and hotel jazeera after they stopped paying them and those who remained in bakaaro are armed with a pistol. under Al Haalik Farmaajo people were not allowed to carry gun bc he was shitting himself he was Al Shabaab enabler. this Govt arms prople and ganacsato so they can be free that's the difference between local president and outsider. Farmaajo never involved war against Al Shabaab bc his target was Hawiye themselves!


Ka dib dagaalkii iyo bartilmaameysigii dhaqaale ee Akoonadii kooxda Shabaabka, waxa ay kooxdu Saakoow ku toogatay qaar kamid ah shaqaalaha Shirkada Hormuud Telecom, halka shalayna ay baabuur Qarax ah ku burburisay xaruntii Bankiga Salaam ee Soobe oo shacab badan ay ku le'deen.

Waxay shabaabku dumisay shan Anteeno oo ku kala yaallo gobolada Hiiraan iyo Galguduud oo ay ugu danbeysey Anteenada Qaayib, kuwaas oo adeeg isgaarsiin iyo EVCPLUS siin jiray dadka shacabka ah ee ku dhaqan tuulooyinka iyo magaalooyinka Goboladaas.

Cali Aadan Muumin


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